The FA Cup fourth round continues with an intriguing clash at the MKM Stadium as Hull City host Chelsea. The home side are looking to cause an upset against one of the competition’s most successful clubs, while the visitors aim to maintain their strong cup tradition. With both teams showing mixed form in recent weeks, this encounter promises to deliver plenty of action and goals.

Hull City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Hull City enter this fixture after a narrow 3-2 defeat to Bristol City on February 7, a result that ended their six-match unbeaten streak in the Championship. Despite that setback, the Tigers have been competitive this season, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their FA Cup journey so far has been modest, having advanced to this round after a goalless draw and penalty shootout win over Blackburn Rovers.

At home, Hull’s record has been inconsistent, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last ten matches across all competitions. Low-scoring games have been a recurring theme, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in two of their last ten home fixtures. Historically, Hull have struggled against Chelsea, failing to win any of their last 13 meetings and conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match in those encounters.

• Hull City FA Cup record this season: W0 · D1 · L0


• Average goals scored: 0.0 | Average conceded: 0.0


• Last head-to-head: Hull City 1–2 Chelsea (January 25, 2020)


• Win probability: 27%

Chelsea’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Chelsea arrive in the fourth round after a dominant 5-1 victory over Charlton Athletic in the previous stage. The Blues have been in solid form overall, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw against Leeds United in the Premier League, marking the first points dropped since their managerial change last month.

In the FA Cup, Chelsea’s attacking power has been evident, averaging 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match this season. They have also been remarkably consistent in the first half, having avoided defeat at halftime in 25 of their last 27 FA Cup games. Away from home, the Blues have won four of their last five matches in all competitions, scoring at least two goals in each of their last four visits to Hull.

• Chelsea FA Cup record this season: W1 · D0 · L0


• Average goals scored: 5.0 | Average conceded: 1.0


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half: last 12 matches


• At least one goal scored in 37 of their last 39 matches


• Win probability: 50%

Hull City vs Chelsea Analysis and Prediction

This FA Cup tie presents a classic underdog scenario. Hull City will rely on their home support and defensive organization to contain a Chelsea side that thrives on attacking momentum. However, the hosts’ recent defensive lapses and poor record against the Blues suggest they may struggle to keep the visitors quiet for long.

Chelsea’s offensive consistency, combined with their strong away form, makes them clear favourites. The visitors have scored in nearly every match this season and tend to find the net multiple times against lower-tier opposition. Given Hull’s tendency to concede early and Chelsea’s ability to dominate possession, the match could open up quickly, leading to a high-scoring affair.

Historically, this fixture has produced goals, and with both teams showing attacking intent, another entertaining contest is expected. Hull’s resilience might earn them a goal, but Chelsea’s superior quality and depth should ultimately prevail.

Hull City vs Chelsea prediction by BetMines:
Chelsea win (2) with a 50% probability. The data also supports a likely Over 2.5 goals outcome, reflecting the attacking trends of both sides.