Hull City host Everton at the MKM Stadium on Sunday, October 11, with the Premier League match scheduled for 13:00 local time. The teams are separated by one point: Everton sit seventh and remain unbeaten in the league, while eighth-placed Hull have taken eight points from their opening five matches. Both sides have made encouraging starts, but their results at home and away respectively suggest this could be a closely contested, low-scoring meeting.

Hull City Recent Form and Key Stats

Hull City have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat in their first five Premier League games following promotion through the Championship play-offs. Their league averages stand at 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Across their last five matches, they have one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Home results have provided much of Hull’s early momentum. They opened with a 2-0 victory over Manchester United and then drew 0-0 with Aston Villa, collecting four points without conceding in those two fixtures. Both matches finished below three total goals, as have six of Hull’s last seven home games. Their unbeaten league start ended with a 2-1 defeat at Newcastle United on September 19, making the return to home soil an opportunity to respond.

The available team news offers Hull encouragement. Nobel Mendy is likely to be available after playing 89 minutes for Senegal following a recent concussion, while Eliot Stroud has recovered from illness. Another notable trend is that Hull have avoided trailing at half-time in 23 of their last 25 matches. Their home games have also produced fewer than 8.5 corners in nine consecutive matches, although the clearest theme for this preview is the limited number of goals in their recent home fixtures.

Everton Recent Form and Key Stats

Everton arrive unbeaten in the Premier League, with two victories and three draws from five matches. They are one place above Hull, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per league game. Their most recent listed result was a 1-0 win over Ipswich Town on September 19, and their last five matches have yielded two wins, three draws and no defeats.

The contrast between Everton’s home and away returns is important here. They have taken seven points from three home league games, but neither of their two away fixtures has produced a win. A 1-1 draw at Bournemouth was followed by a 0-0 draw at Tottenham, leaving Everton with just one goal scored across those trips. Including the previous away league match cited in the source material, three successive Everton away games have ended with fewer than 2.5 total goals.

Everton also face uncertainty away from the pitch, with reports that their owners are interested in selling the club. On the team-news front, Vitali Mykolenko is a doubt after leaving the Ukraine squad early with a leg problem. Merlin Rohl is also doubtful, while Christian Norgaard has yet to make his debut. None of those concerns changes Everton’s unbeaten league record, but they form part of the backdrop to this visit to Hull.

Hull City vs Everton Match Analysis

This fixture brings together a Hull side that have yet to concede in their two home league games and an Everton side that have drawn both away matches. Hull’s 2-0 win and 0-0 draw at the MKM Stadium point to a disciplined home start; Everton’s 1-1 and 0-0 away draws tell a similarly restrained story. The visitors have the stronger overall league record, but their away results have not yet matched their home form.

The broader figures offer a little more perspective. Everton have conceded an average of 0.6 goals per league match, compared with Hull’s 0.8, while both teams average 1.2 goals scored. Everton’s matches have also tended to start quietly: fewer than 1.5 first-half goals were scored in 27 of their last 30 games. The last meeting between these sides finished 2-2 on January 8, 2022, so the head-to-head result alone does not point to another low total. More relevant to Sunday’s match are Hull’s recent home scores and Everton’s two away draws this season.

Hull have shown they can secure points at home without allowing opponents many goals, while Everton have remained unbeaten despite scoring only once on their travels. Those patterns make patience and the opening goal potentially significant. With both teams close together in the table and neither arriving on the back of a high-scoring away or home run, a match with fewer than three goals is the most coherent reading of the supplied form.

Hull City vs Everton prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 56% probability.