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Prediction published on Dec 30, 2025 4:04 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Dec 30, 2025 4:04 PM
The Championship action continues on New Year’s Day as Hull City welcome Stoke City for the 25th round of the season. Both teams are chasing promotion ambitions, but their current trajectories could not be more different. Hull sit in fourth place, six positions above Stoke, and are looking to maintain their strong momentum at home. The visitors, meanwhile, are desperate to halt a worrying run of results that has seen them slip down the table.
Hull City have been one of the most consistent sides in the Championship in recent weeks. Their 1-0 away victory over Middlesbrough on December 29 marked their fourth win in five league matches, a run that has propelled them to 41 points. Over those five games, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, underlining their balance between attack and defense.
Across the season, Hull’s record stands at 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. They have found the net in 20 of their last 21 Championship fixtures, showing remarkable attacking consistency. At home, the Tigers have been particularly strong, collecting 23 of their 41 points and losing only once to a team outside the top four. This home form gives them confidence heading into this clash.
With their attack firing and defense tightening, Hull appear well-positioned to continue their push toward the automatic promotion spots. Their recent performances suggest a team growing in confidence and efficiency, capable of controlling games both home and away.
Stoke City arrive at this fixture in contrasting form. Their 2-1 home defeat to Sheffield United on December 29 was their tenth league loss of the campaign, leaving them on 34 points and in 10th place. Over their last five matches, the Potters have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals while conceding 1.0 per game.
Stoke’s season record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses reflects their inconsistency. Away from home, they have struggled significantly, collecting only 14 points and losing their last four away fixtures. Despite this, they can take some encouragement from their recent head-to-head record against Hull, having won on each of their last four visits.
While Stoke’s defensive structure has kept them competitive in many matches, their lack of cutting edge in attack has been a major concern. To get a result here, they will need to rediscover their scoring touch and show greater resilience on the road.
This fixture brings together two sides with very different recent fortunes. Hull City are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five and showing strong home performances, while Stoke City have been struggling to find consistency, particularly away from home. The Tigers’ attacking rhythm and defensive solidity make them favorites to extend their winning streak.
Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with Hull winning three of the last five meetings and Stoke taking two. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Stoke on November 29, 2025, but current form suggests the balance may tilt back toward the hosts this time.
Given Hull’s ability to score regularly and Stoke’s recent defensive lapses, a home win looks the most likely outcome. However, with both teams capable of finding the net, a close and hard-fought contest can be expected.
Hull City vs Stoke City prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hull City
Stoke City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
10
0
9
1