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Independiente Rivadavia
5:45 PM
September 12, 2026
Aldosivi
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 6:14 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 6:14 PM
Independiente Rivadavia welcome Aldosivi on September 12, 2026, for a Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture beginning at 17:45 local time. The teams recently met on August 26 in the Copa Argentina, when Independiente Rivadavia recorded a 2-0 victory. This rematch arrives with the home side holding the stronger season record, although both clubs are listed eighth in the supplied Liga Profesional ranking. Independiente Rivadavia have won 13 of their 25 league matches, while Aldosivi have managed only one victory across 24. Home form is another important part of the preview: Independiente Rivadavia have scored in each of their last 15 matches on their own ground, whereas Aldosivi have conceded in 13 consecutive away fixtures. The visitors will nevertheless travel with renewed confidence after defeating Banfield 3-1 in their latest appearance.
Independiente Rivadavia enter this contest after a 3-1 defeat against River Plate on September 6. That result ended a five-match sequence containing two wins, two draws and only one loss. Across those five games, the hosts averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, showing a generally competitive balance despite the most recent setback.
Their broader Liga Profesional de Fútbol numbers provide an even clearer indication of their consistency. Independiente Rivadavia have registered 13 wins, six draws and six defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 1.1. Those figures compare favorably with Aldosivi's season record and help explain why the home team carry the stronger win probability into the fixture.
Performances at home have produced several notable attacking trends. Independiente Rivadavia have found the net at least once in each of their last 15 home matches. Their last 10 home league games have also all featured more than 1.5 total goals. The article data highlights three recent league victories on their own ground: 3-1 against Racing Club, 2-1 against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and 2-1 against Huracán. Independiente Rivadavia scored at least twice in every one of those games, but they also conceded each time.
Although three of their last 11 matches have ended without a goal and three of their last 12 league fixtures have produced under 0.5 goals, the sustained scoring run at home is the more relevant trend for this match. The task for Independiente Rivadavia is to respond to the River Plate defeat by turning territorial advantage and stronger season numbers into another positive result.
Aldosivi finally secured their first league victory of the season when they beat Banfield 3-1 on September 5. That success was significant after a long winless sequence, with the visitors having failed to win in 23 of their last 24 Liga Profesional de Fútbol matches. It also gave them a welcome lift before a difficult away assignment against a side that defeated them 2-0 only a short time ago.
The visitors' last five matches have returned one win, one draw and three defeats. During that period, Aldosivi averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their complete league record stands at one win, 10 draws and 13 losses, with averages of 0.6 goals for and 1.3 against. The low scoring average and high number of matches without a victory underline the challenge they face in Mendoza.
Away results are a particular concern. Aldosivi lost their last three matches on the road, although they scored once in each of the two most recent away games against Argentinos Juniors and Rosario Central. More importantly, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 away matches, including 12 consecutive away fixtures in this competition. Facing a home team that has scored in 15 straight games on its own ground creates a difficult statistical matchup.
There are still signs that Aldosivi can make an early impact. They have been ahead at half-time in each of their last three league matches. At the same time, at least one team failed to score before the interval in 37 of Aldosivi's last 40 games, suggesting that first-half scoring has often been one-sided rather than shared. Their 3-1 win over Banfield offers encouragement, but they must now show that the improvement can be transferred to an away fixture.
The season statistics and venue-specific trends point toward Independiente Rivadavia as the more convincing side. They have 13 league wins compared with Aldosivi's one, average 1.6 goals per game rather than 0.6, and possess a reliable home scoring streak. Aldosivi's run of conceding in 13 consecutive away matches strengthens the expectation that the hosts will create opportunities and get on the scoresheet.
The recent head-to-head record also supports that assessment. Independiente Rivadavia won the latest meeting 2-0 on August 26 and hold a summary of three wins, one draw and one defeat from the recorded encounters with Aldosivi. In those matches, they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Another home victory would therefore follow both the latest direct result and the wider head-to-head pattern.
There are reasons not to dismiss the visitors completely. Aldosivi have just beaten Banfield 3-1, have scored in their two latest referenced away defeats and have led at half-time in three successive league fixtures. Independiente Rivadavia also conceded three goals in their latest match. However, the visitors' overall form remains much less dependable, particularly away from home, and one victory does not erase a sequence in which they failed to win 23 of 24 league games.
The supplied probabilities give Independiente Rivadavia a 59% chance of victory, compared with 26% for the draw and 16% for an Aldosivi win. Both Teams To Score is rated at 42% for Yes and 58% for No, while Under 2.5 goals carries 59%. Those goal indicators suggest that a controlled home performance may be more likely than an open contest, even though recent Independiente Rivadavia home games have regularly passed 1.5 total goals. Overall, the strongest conclusion is that the hosts' scoring consistency, season record and Aldosivi's persistent away defensive problems give Independiente Rivadavia the advantage.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi prediction from BetMines: Independiente Rivadavia win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Independiente Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
10
0
10
0