The sixth round of the Apertura brings a fascinating clash between two sides sharing the same name but representing different regions of Argentina. Independiente Rivadavia de Mendoza will host CA Independiente at the Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini this Thursday at 19:30 (local time). Both teams arrive in strong positions within their respective groups, making this encounter one of the most anticipated fixtures of the week.

Independiente Rivadavia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

The home side, known as “La Lepra Mendocina,” saw their perfect record come to an end in the previous round after a narrow 0-1 defeat against Belgrano. Despite that setback, their earlier run of four consecutive victories keeps them firmly among the top contenders in Group B. With an average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, they have shown a balanced approach between attack and defense.

At home, Independiente Rivadavia have been involved in low-scoring affairs. In fact, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 home matches in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, and in four of their last ten, the first half ended goalless. Their defensive discipline has been a key factor in maintaining consistency, while their attack has managed to find the net regularly enough to secure wins in tight contests.

• Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat.


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 0.8 per match.


• Under 3.5 goals in last 11 home games.


• Under 0.5 goals in 4 of last 10 home matches.

Currently sitting second in their group, just one point behind the leaders, the Mendocinos will be eager to bounce back in front of their fans and reclaim momentum in the race for the top spot.

CA Independiente’s Recent Form and Key Stats

The visitors from Avellaneda also occupy second place in their group, but unlike their hosts, they remain unbeaten this season. Their campaign began with three consecutive draws, followed by two solid victories — 2-0 against Lanús and another win over Platense — both achieved without conceding a goal. This run highlights their growing defensive solidity and improved efficiency in front of goal.

Across their last five matches, Independiente have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, reflecting a compact and well-organized side. Their matches tend to be tight, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 22 fixtures overall and in their last 20 league games. Away from home, the trend continues: Under 1.5 goals at half time in 14 consecutive away matches and Under 3.5 goals in their last 11 away fixtures.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 0.6 per match.


• Under 3.5 goals in last 22 matches.


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in last 14 away games.

With a solid defensive base and growing confidence, the “Rojo” will look to extend their unbeaten streak and challenge for the top of Group A. Their recent form suggests a team that prioritizes structure and patience, often waiting for the right moment to strike.

Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Independiente Analysis and Prediction

This meeting between two “Independientes” promises to be a tactical and disciplined battle. Both sides have shown a preference for controlled, low-scoring matches, with strong defensive records and limited goal margins. The head-to-head history also supports this pattern — their last encounter ended 1-0, and across their five most recent meetings, both teams have averaged just 0.6 goals scored per game.

Given the statistical trends, it is reasonable to expect another tight contest where defenses dominate. Independiente Rivadavia will rely on their home advantage to regain form, while CA Independiente will aim to preserve their unbeaten run through compact organization and quick transitions. The balance of probabilities suggests a cautious start, with few clear chances and a strong likelihood of a low-scoring outcome.

According to the data, the win probabilities stand at 32% for Independiente Rivadavia, 30% for a draw, and 38% for CA Independiente. The likelihood of Both Teams To Score – No is 55%, while Under 2.5 goals has a 61% chance of occurring. These figures align perfectly with the recent performances and tendencies of both teams.

Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Independiente prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 61% probability.