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Independiente
1 - 0
FT
Newell's Old Boys
Prediction published on Jul 29, 2026 1:11 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Jul 29, 2026 1:11 AM
Independiente host Newell's Old Boys in the second round of the Clausura after both teams opened this stage of the Liga Profesional de Fútbol with a victory and a clean sheet. Independiente began with an important 2-0 away success against Estudiantes on July 26, 2026, while Newell's defeated Talleres Córdoba 1-0 at home one day earlier. Those results leave the sides second and third respectively in the competition ranking supplied for this fixture. Their strong starts create an intriguing contest, although the recent scoring patterns point toward a potentially controlled game. Both opening-round matches finished with fewer than 2.5 total goals, while four of the last five meetings played at Independiente's ground also stayed below that line.
Independiente approach their first home fixture of this Clausura with confidence after overcoming Estudiantes 2-0. The result combined attacking efficiency with a clean sheet, giving the team an ideal beginning to the new stage of the season. Across their last five matches, Independiente have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 1.2 per game. That run has produced positive results more often than setbacks, but it also indicates that their recent performances have not been entirely consistent.
The wider Liga Profesional de Fútbol figures show seven victories, six draws and five defeats for Independiente. Their averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, suggesting that their matches can contain chances at both ends even though the latest victory was achieved without conceding. The home scoring sequence is especially notable: Independiente have found the net at least once in each of their last 12 home matches. They have also scored in 23 of their last 24 games across all competitions covered by the supplied data and in 21 of their previous 22 Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixtures.
Those streaks make a home goal a recurring feature of Independiente's recent record, but they do not necessarily point to a high-scoring match. Five of their nine home games this year ended with fewer than 2.5 total goals. The original match analysis also credits the defensive work of Lomónaco and Valdéz as an important factor in keeping several of those contests under control. After shutting out Estudiantes, another disciplined display would allow the home side to build from a stable base while attempting to extend its long scoring run.
Newell's Old Boys also made a winning start, beating Talleres Córdoba 1-0 on July 25, 2026. Like their hosts, they combined a clean sheet with a result below 2.5 goals. Their current sequence is particularly solid: Newell's are unbeaten across their last five matches, collecting two victories and three draws. During that period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded, numbers that underline their ability to remain competitive without requiring a large attacking output.
The season statistics provide a more mixed overall picture. Newell's have four wins, six draws and seven losses in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, with averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their recent five-game record is therefore stronger than those broader figures, particularly from a defensive perspective. Keeping Talleres Córdoba scoreless continued that encouraging short-term trend and gives the visitors momentum ahead of a demanding away assignment.
There are also two important timing and totals patterns in their league record. Each of the last 12 away matches involving Newell's Old Boys in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol has produced more than 1.5 total goals. In addition, 18 of their last 20 matches have featured at least one second-half goal. Their most recent away fixture mentioned in the source ended in a 1-1 draw against Vélez Sarsfield at the close of the Apertura, another match that cleared 1.5 goals but remained below 2.5. These figures leave room for more than one goal without necessarily suggesting an open contest.
The available evidence presents a meeting between two teams arriving from similar opening performances. Both won, both kept clean sheets and both finished below 2.5 total goals. Independiente scored twice away to Estudiantes, whereas Newell's secured a narrower 1-0 home victory over Talleres Córdoba. The hosts bring a persistent scoring record into the contest, while the visitors arrive unbeaten in five and with a recent defensive average of fewer than one goal conceded per match.
Recent head-to-head results add another layer to the analysis. The latest meeting ended 1-1 on January 28, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Independiente's perspective, the record is one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Newell's have consequently enjoyed the better results over that five-match sample, although Independiente's current home scoring streak indicates that the visitors should still expect sustained pressure.
The venue-specific trend supports the possibility of a measured match: four of the last five clashes between these teams at the Estadio Libertadores de América produced fewer than 2.5 total goals. That pattern aligns with the opening Clausura results and with five of Independiente's nine home fixtures this year. At the same time, Newell's sequence of 12 league away games with more than 1.5 goals means a completely uneventful contest is not the only scenario supported by the statistics.
Independiente's challenge will be to turn their regular home scoring into another positive result while protecting the defensive standard shown against Estudiantes. Newell's, meanwhile, will aim to extend their five-match unbeaten run and reproduce the organisation that delivered a clean sheet against Talleres Córdoba. With both teams beginning the Clausura successfully and recent direct meetings often producing restrained scorelines, efficiency in front of goal and concentration after the interval could be decisive.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
6
4
8
2
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1