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Inter San Carlos
2 - 3
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Alajuelense
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 2:02 PM by Dario in Costa Rica - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 2:02 PM
Inter San Carlos host Alajuelense in a Primera Division meeting on October 18, 2026, with little separating the sides in the standings. Inter San Carlos sit fifth and Alajuelense are sixth ahead of the match at Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez. Both teams have taken two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five fixtures, although the results immediately before this game were different: the hosts beat San Carlos 2-1, while the visitors drew 1-1 with Herediano. Alajuelense won the only previous meeting listed between these sides 5-0, giving Inter San Carlos a clear result to put behind them.
Inter San Carlos return home after their 2-1 victory over San Carlos on October 14. That result brought a welcome win after a five-match sequence that also included two draws and one defeat. Across those five games, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. They have found ways to collect points, but their recent goals-conceded average shows that Alajuelense could have opportunities too.
In Primera Division play this season, Inter San Carlos have recorded five wins, three draws and three losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Their position in fifth gives them a narrow edge over the visitors in the standings, while their latest win offers a more encouraging starting point than the heavy defeat in September's head-to-head meeting.
Goals have not appeared in every recent Inter San Carlos fixture: three of their last 15 matches finished with no goals at all. That record is worth keeping alongside, rather than in place of, their recent averages. For this preview, the question is whether they can follow up the San Carlos result against an opponent whose recent scoring rate is higher.
Alajuelense arrive after a 1-1 draw with Herediano on October 15. Their last five results match Inter San Carlos exactly—two victories, two draws and one defeat—but their attacking output over that period has been greater. They averaged 2.2 goals scored per game, compared with 1.2 for the hosts, while conceding 1.2 per game. Across the Primera Division season, Alajuelense have four wins, four draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 allowed.
The visitors have a mixed set of away indicators. They have gone five away games without a win, so their recent scoring figures have not consistently turned into victories on their travels. At the same time, each of their last 12 away Primera Division matches has featured more than 1.5 total goals. That statistic describes goals by both teams combined, not Alajuelense's scoring alone, and suggests their away fixtures have rarely stayed quiet throughout.
There has also been an early goal in each of those 12 away league matches. Across all venues, 21 of Alajuelense's last 23 Primera Division games have featured at least one first-half goal. Their broader league run shows a similar tendency for goals over the full match: 24 of their last 25 Primera Division fixtures have produced more than 1.5 total goals.
This Primera Division match pairs two teams with identical five-game results but different scoring averages. Inter San Carlos have the more recent win and are one place ahead; Alajuelense have scored more freely over their last five matches and hold a 5-0 win from the only head-to-head encounter provided. Neither point settles this fixture on its own, particularly given the visitors' five-match wait for an away victory.
The strongest recurring match pattern concerns timing. Every one of Alajuelense's last 12 away league games has contained a goal before half-time, as have 21 of their last 23 league fixtures overall. That does not specify which side scored, and it does not guarantee another early goal. It does, however, make the opening half especially relevant when weighing this Inter San Carlos vs Alajuelense preview against the available match statistics.
Inter San Carlos vs Alajuelense prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 77% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter San Carlos
Alajuelense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2