Tools
Prediction published on Jan 2, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 2, 2026 10:01 PM
The Serie A weekend brings an exciting clash at San Siro as Inter host Bologna in what promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of early January. The two sides met recently in the Supercoppa Italiana semifinals, where Bologna triumphed on penalties before falling to Napoli in the final. That victory added to a growing trend of difficulties for Inter against the Rossoblù, who have often proven to be a tough opponent in recent seasons. With the league campaign entering a decisive phase, both teams have plenty at stake — Inter aiming to consolidate their lead at the top, and Bologna looking to stay in the European race.
Inter approach this match as Serie A leaders, sitting first in the standings with 36 points. Their recent form has been impressive, especially after recovering from a derby defeat earlier in the campaign. The Nerazzurri have since recorded four consecutive league victories against Como, Genoa, Pisa, and Atalanta, the latter a hard-fought 0-1 away win on December 28. That result reaffirmed their defensive solidity and ability to grind out results even in challenging away fixtures.
Statistically, Inter’s season has been dominant: 12 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. They have not drawn any of their last 17 Serie A games, and remarkably, none of their last 15 home fixtures have ended level. The team tends to start strong, having led at half time in 7 of their last 10 home matches and in 13 of their last 21 overall. Their attack has been consistent, with at least one goal scored in 19 of their last 20 league outings.
In terms of individual performances, Lautaro remains the standout figure, leading the Serie A scoring charts with nine goals. His partnership with Thuram has been effective, while Calhanoglu continues to shine in midfield, contributing six goals from deep. Despite injuries to Dumfries, Darmian, and Bonny, Inter’s depth allows them to maintain a high level of performance. The home side’s main objective is clear: secure another victory to strengthen their grip on the top spot and move closer to the winter title.
Bologna enter this fixture seventh in the table, a position that reflects both their strong start to the season and a recent dip in form. Their last outing before the break was a 1-1 draw against Sassuolo on December 28, a result that extended their run to just one win in the last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). During that period, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing a slight decline in attacking sharpness compared to earlier months.
Over the course of the season, Bologna’s record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. They have been involved in open games, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 Serie A fixtures. The team’s resilience and tactical discipline have been key under their current management, but fatigue from a congested December schedule may have contributed to their recent slowdown.
On the personnel front, Bologna welcome back Freuler and Casale, while Skorupski and Bernardeschi remain unavailable. Orsolini, the team’s top scorer with six goals, continues to be their main attacking threat. His duel with Lautaro could be decisive, as both forwards have been instrumental for their respective sides. Bologna’s challenge will be to rediscover their early-season intensity and maintain defensive focus against one of the league’s most potent attacks.
Recent meetings between these two sides have been tightly contested. In their last seven encounters, Inter have managed just one victory, while Bologna have claimed three wins and three draws. The most recent clash ended 1-1 on December 19, underlining the balance between the teams. On average, these matches have produced 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per side, suggesting a pattern of low-scoring, competitive affairs.
Inter’s home advantage could prove crucial, especially given their strong record at San Siro and their ability to control games from the start. Bologna, however, have shown they can frustrate the Nerazzurri with compact defending and quick transitions. The tactical battle is expected to revolve around Inter’s midfield control versus Bologna’s counter-attacking efficiency. Both teams have attacking quality, and given their recent scoring trends, goals at both ends seem likely.
Considering the statistical balance and recent form, this match promises intensity and attacking intent from both sides. Inter’s consistency and home dominance make them favorites, but Bologna’s resilience and ability to score in key moments cannot be overlooked. The data indicates a close contest where both teams are likely to find the net.
Inter vs Bologna prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Bologna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1