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Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 7:02 PM
The 14th round of the 2025/26 Serie A season brings a fascinating clash at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, where Inter host Como on Saturday, December 6, 2025. Cristian Chivu’s side continue their pursuit of the top spot, while Cesc Fàbregas’ men aim to extend their impressive unbeaten run and confirm their credentials as one of the revelations of the campaign. With both teams in excellent form, this encounter promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend in Italy’s top flight.
Inter approach this match in high spirits after a convincing week. They first defeated Pisa 2-0 away in Serie A and then cruised past Venezia 5-1 in the Coppa Italia, securing a place in the quarter-finals. Those results underline the Nerazzurri’s attacking power and squad depth, as Chivu rotated heavily in midweek without compromising performance. In the league, Inter sit third in the table, just one point behind leaders Milan and Napoli, and remain one of the most consistent sides in the competition.
Statistically, Inter boast the best attack in Serie A with 28 goals scored and have found the net in every home match this season. They have won five of their seven league games at San Siro, scoring at least twice in each victory. Their overall record of nine wins and four defeats (no draws) reflects a team that always plays to win. Inter have not drawn in their last 22 matches across all competitions, and Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in 26 of their last 28 fixtures — a clear sign of their attacking intent.
Defensively, Chivu’s men have also been solid, conceding only one goal per game on average. The coach is expected to restore his strongest lineup after the Coppa Italia rotation. Sommer will return in goal, with Bastoni anchoring the defense. Depending on tactical needs, Akanji could play either as a central defender or on the right, with Bisseck or Acerbi completing the back line. In attack, Lautaro Martínez remains the main reference point, while Bonny may start alongside him to give Thuram a rest. Dumfries, Darmian, and Di Gennaro are still unavailable through injury, while Mkhitaryan is expected to start on the bench after returning from a minor issue.
Como continue to impress under Cesc Fàbregas, combining defensive discipline with efficient attacking play. The Lariani come into this match unbeaten in 11 Serie A games (and 12 in all competitions), a run that has propelled them to fifth place, just three points behind Inter. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 home win over Sassuolo, further confirming their excellent momentum.
Statistically, Como possess the best defense in Serie A, having conceded only seven goals so far. Their season record stands at six wins, six draws, and just one defeat, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match. Away from home, they have been difficult to beat, collecting two wins, three draws, and one loss. Their ability to stay compact and organized has been key — Como have avoided defeat at half time in 26 of their last 28 league games, and at least one team has failed to score in the second half of their last 21 Serie A fixtures.
For this trip to Milan, Fàbregas welcomes back Smolcic from suspension, strengthening the defensive line. However, Sergi Roberto, Goldaniga, Dossena, and Diao remain sidelined. On the left flank, Alex Valle and Alberto Moreno are competing for a starting spot, while Posch is expected to start on the opposite side. In midfield, Da Cunha is likely to get the nod over Caqueret, with Nico Paz orchestrating play behind the forwards. Up front, Douvikas should lead the line ahead of Morata.
This fixture brings together Serie A’s most prolific attack and its most resilient defense. Inter’s offensive firepower, led by Lautaro and supported by a dynamic midfield, will test Como’s compact structure and disciplined back line. The Nerazzurri’s home advantage at San Siro, where they have scored freely all season, could prove decisive. Chivu’s men also have history on their side — Inter have won the last nine league meetings with Como, all without conceding a goal, and have triumphed in eight of their last ten Serie A matches.
Como, however, are not to be underestimated. Their unbeaten streak and defensive solidity make them a tough opponent for any side. Fàbregas’ team will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on quick transitions and exploiting any space left by Inter’s attacking full-backs. The key battle could take place in midfield, where Como’s organization will be tested by Inter’s pressing and creativity.
While Inter’s attacking rhythm and depth make them favorites, Como’s defensive resilience could keep the match competitive, especially in the first half. The outcome may hinge on whether Inter can break through early and maintain their intensity throughout the 90 minutes.
INTER (3-5-2): Sommer; Bastoni, Akanji, Bisseck (or Acerbi); Carlos Augusto, Barella, Calhanoglu, Frattesi, Dimarco; Lautaro Martínez, Bonny. Coach: C. Chivu
COMO (4-2-3-1): Semper; Posch, Smolcic, Barisic, Alex Valle (or Alberto Moreno); Da Cunha, Bellemo; Nico Paz, Verdi, Cutrone; Douvikas. Coach: C. Fàbregas
The most likely outcome is a Inter win (1) with a 56% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while a Como win (2) stands at 21%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Como
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2