The 24th round of Serie A concludes with a high-stakes clash between Simone Inzaghi's Inter and Raffaele Palladino's Fiorentina. This fixture comes just days after their previous encounter, with the venues reversed, as the two sides faced off last Thursday in a rescheduled Matchday 14 game. At the Stadio Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina defied predictions with a dominant 3-0 victory, thanks to Ranieri's first league goal and a brace from the increasingly decisive Moise Kean. Despite missing new signings and several key players—most notably Gudmundsson—Fiorentina delivered a resilient performance, capitalizing on counterattacks led by wingers Dodò and Parisi. For Monday’s away fixture, Palladino remains uncertain about the return of some injured players but could start recent signings like Fagioli and Zaniolo. Meanwhile, Inter suffered a rare heavy defeat—marking the first time in five years they lost by a three-goal margin (last happening under Spalletti's tenure). Inzaghi’s squad struggled to create dangerous chances despite the return of Calhanoglu and the presence of Lautaro and Thuram. With this loss, Inter has widened the gap from Napoli and now knows it cannot afford any more missteps if it wants to stay in the title race.

Inter's shape and key statistics

Inter's 3-0 defeat against Fiorentina marked their second league loss of the season, the previous one occurring on September 22 in the first Derby della Madonnina (2-1 for AC Milan). Over the last five matches, Inter has won three, drawn one, and lost one, averaging 1.8 goals per game while conceding 0.8.

At home, Inter has only suffered one defeat this season (against Milan). At the San Siro, they have scored 26 goals and conceded 13—more than defensive-minded teams like Torino and Empoli. Regarding lineup changes, Inzaghi will have to replace the suspended Dumfries but will likely start Dimarco, who was only used as a substitute in the previous encounter.

Fiorentina's shape and key statistics

Fiorentina comes into this match with three consecutive wins against Lazio, Genoa, and Inter. Over the last five games, they have secured three victories, one draw, and one loss. The standout performer has been Moise Kean, who has scored four goals in his last five Serie A appearances.

The former Juventus and PSG striker has now reached 15 league goals, surpassing his previous best season tally. In their last five away fixtures in Serie A, Fiorentina has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss, averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction and Tactical Analysis

Thursday’s defeat offers Inter a chance to analyze their mistakes and make the necessary adjustments. Expect a more cautious Inter, aiming to avoid exposure to Fiorentina’s counterattacks while being forced to chase the win to keep pace in the title race.

At home, Inter has kept a clean sheet only four times in Serie A this season, making it highly probable that Fiorentina will find the net regardless of the final result. For this reason, BetMines' prediction algorithm for Inter vs Fiorentina forecasts a game where both teams will score at least one goal. 

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Inter - Fiorentina match predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 52%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Inter - Fiorentina match predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score any goals at 48%.

Inter vs Fiorentina Predicted Lineups

Inter (3-5-2): Sommer; Pavard, de Vrij, Bastoni; Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Lautaro, Thuram. Coach: Inzaghi.

Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): De Gea; Dodò, Pongracic, Ranieri, Gosens; Mandragora, Cataldi; Zaniolo, Gudmundsson, Folorunsho; Kean. Coach: Palladino.