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Prediction published on Oct 27, 2025 6:36 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 27, 2025 6:36 PM
At San Siro Stadium in Milan, Inter and Fiorentina face off in a crucial match for both teams, determined to move past their disappointing Serie A weekend. The home side come off a heavy 3-1 defeat against Napoli, a result that cost them the top spot in the league. Chivu’s men are therefore under pressure to win to avoid falling further behind Napoli and Roma, while managing their energy for a congested fixture schedule. Fiorentina, on the other hand, are struggling near the bottom of the table with just four points and are aiming for their first league win of the season. The Viola come from a 2-2 comeback draw against Bologna, thanks to two penalties converted by Gudmundsson and Kean, and will be looking for valuable points to escape the relegation zone. This promises to be an intense and hard-fought match, with both teams determined to secure all three points.
Inter arrive at this match with low morale after last Saturday’s 3-1 defeat in the direct clash against Napoli. In their last five games across all competitions, the Nerazzurri have recorded 4 wins and 1 loss, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game.
Chivu’s squad currently sits fourth in Serie A with 15 points, from 5 wins and 3 losses, having scored 19 goals and conceded 11. The Italian runners-up boast the best attack in the league, scoring 2.57 goals per game in the championship. In defense, the three goals conceded against Napoli raise some concerns.
The Nerazzurri have played five home matches so far, securing 4 wins and 1 loss, scoring a total of 15 goals while conceding just 4. They come into this match on a three-game home winning streak, having defeated Sassuolo, Slavia Prague, and Cremonese.
Fiorentina, drawing 2-2 against Bologna on Sunday, have once again postponed their quest for a league victory, but still recorded their second consecutive positive result after a Conference League win over SK Rapid. Their last five games across all competitions show 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
A truly disappointing start to the league for the Tuscan side, who after the first eight matchdays have collected just 4 points (4 draws and 4 losses), scoring 7 goals and conceding 12. Stefano Pioli’s team has one of the worst defenses in the league, keeping a clean sheet only twice in the first eight Serie A matchdays.
The Viola have played six away games across all competitions, recording a poor record of 2 wins (both in the Conference League), 3 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match.
Based on league form and the eleven-point gap in the standings, BetMines predicts a clear victory for the home side. Inter also have the head-to-head advantage, having won four of the last five clashes against Fiorentina.
The expectation is that the home team will control the game, while the visitors will rely almost exclusively on Kean’s counterattacks, who has only two goals so far this season. Considering the many upcoming fixtures for Inter in Serie A and the Champions League, it is likely that Chivu will rotate players both at the start and during the match.
From a scoring perspective, BetMines expects a game with fewer than three goals in total, with the away team possibly failing to score, having netted just one goal in their last three away matches against Torino, Pisa, and Milan. Therefore, the most likely options are Under 2.5 goals and "at least one team not to score".
INTER (3-5-2): Sommer; Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Sucic, Dimarco; Bonny, Martinez L. Coach: Chivu
FIORENTINA (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Marì, Ranieri; Dodo, Mandragora, Nicolussi Caviglia, Fazzini, Gosens; Kean, Gudmundsson. Coach: Pioli
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0