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Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 7:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 7:02 PM
The 25th round of Serie A brings one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season as Inter host Juventus at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. The Derby d’Italia, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026, promises high intensity and drama, with both sides chasing crucial points for their respective goals. Inter are leading the league and aiming to secure the Scudetto, while Juventus remain in the battle for a Champions League spot. The rivalry, history, and current form of both teams make this encounter one of the standout matches of the Italian football calendar.
Inter approach this clash in exceptional form, sitting at the top of Serie A and showing no signs of slowing down. The Nerazzurri have recorded five consecutive victories across all competitions, including a dominant 5-0 away win against Sassuolo on February 8. Over their last five matches, they have averaged 3.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, underlining their attacking power and defensive solidity.
In Serie A this season, Inter’s record stands at 19 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. They have been particularly strong at home, where they have scored in every match and often taken control early. Inter have won at half time in their last four league matches and have not lost at half time in their last 16 Serie A fixtures. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 16 home games, showing their ability to maintain pressure throughout the match.
Consistency has been a defining feature of their campaign. Inter have not drawn in 23 of their last 24 Serie A matches and have gone 12 league games unbeaten. Their attack has been relentless, finding the net in each of their last 14 matches in all competitions. With 57 goals scored in 24 league games, they boast the most prolific attack in Serie A, averaging 2.75 goals per home match. These numbers confirm their status as the team to beat this season.
Juventus enter this Derby d’Italia sitting fourth in the standings, level on points with Roma and 12 points behind Inter. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. The most recent result was a 2-2 home draw against Lazio on February 8, where they rescued a point late in the game. Despite showing resilience, the Bianconeri have struggled for consistency, especially away from home.
In Serie A this season, Juventus have recorded 13 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. However, their away form remains a concern: they have lost all three away league games against teams in the top eight and failed to score in three of their last four away fixtures. Still, they have managed to find the net in the second half of each of their last 11 Serie A matches, suggesting that they often grow into games as they progress.
Juventus’s attack has produced 41 goals this season, the second-highest tally in the league, but their efficiency drops significantly on the road, with only 16 goals scored in 12 away matches. The team’s defensive structure remains solid, yet lapses in concentration have cost them valuable points. To challenge Inter, they will need to rediscover their sharpness in front of goal and maintain focus throughout the 90 minutes.
The Derby d’Italia rarely disappoints, and this edition promises to be no exception. Inter’s attacking rhythm and home dominance contrast with Juventus’s more cautious and reactive approach. The hosts have been ruthless at San Siro, combining fluid attacking play with defensive discipline. Juventus, meanwhile, will rely on their experience and compact shape to frustrate the league leaders and strike on the counter.
Historically, this fixture has produced goals and drama. The last head-to-head ended in a 4-3 thriller in September 2025, and both teams have scored in half of Inter’s home matches this season. Given the attacking quality on both sides and their recent scoring patterns, another open and entertaining contest is expected.
Inter’s momentum, home advantage, and superior form make them slight favorites, but Juventus’s ability to rise to big occasions ensures that the match remains finely balanced. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where control of possession could dictate the outcome. If Inter maintain their current intensity, they have every chance to extend their lead at the top of the table.
BetMines prediction for Inter vs Juventus: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
4
6
9
1
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0