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Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 3:33 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 3:33 PM
Inter and Napoli, the winners of the last two Serie A titles, meet on Saturday, September 5, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 local time. The third-round fixture takes place at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano and brings together two teams that experienced contrasting results last weekend. Inter have collected maximum points from their opening two league matches, while Napoli are attempting to respond immediately to their first defeat under Massimiliano Allegri. Recent meetings suggest another competitive contest: both teams have scored in each of the last five head-to-head encounters, while the most recent clash finished 2-2 on January 11, 2026. Inter are currently second in Serie A and Napoli are tenth, with three points separating the defending champions from their visitors.
Inter have started their title defence with two victories from two matches. Cristian Chivu's team opened the campaign by beating newly promoted Monza 4-1 at home before recording a 1-0 away victory over Cagliari on August 30. The Nerazzurri were also described as deserving more goals in Sardinia, but one was enough to protect their perfect start.
Their Serie A numbers currently stand at two wins, no draws and no defeats, with averages of 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Looking across their last five matches, Inter have produced four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and allowing only 0.6. They have avoided defeat in 27 of their previous 28 league fixtures, illustrating the consistency behind their position as reigning champions.
Home form adds further weight to Inter's case. They won 14 of their 19 home league games last season and have not lost a Serie A match at the Meazza for almost ten months. Inter have scored at least once in each of their last 16 home fixtures and in their last 13 Serie A home games. Their previous 13 matches at this venue have also produced over 1.5 total goals, while a second-half goal has been recorded in 19 consecutive Inter home matches. Chivu's side have not been behind at half-time in their last 13 home league appearances.
Few major changes are expected from the team that won at Cagliari. Bisseck is pushing to return in defence, while new arrival Stones could begin on the bench. Diouf is expected back on the right, and Zielinski is ahead of Sucic and Jones in the midfield selection. In attack, the partnership between Esposito and Lautaro is presented as the preferred solution, particularly because Thuram is not fully fit.
Napoli began the Massimiliano Allegri era with an encouraging 2-0 victory over Genoa. That positive start was followed by a 2-1 home defeat against Como on August 30, increasing the pressure before this difficult trip. Their early Serie A record is therefore one win and one loss, with averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
The broader five-match sequence remains respectable, consisting of three victories, one draw and one defeat. Napoli have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over that period. Their away results since the end of February are another source of encouragement: they have registered four wins and two draws, conceded only twice and kept clean sheets in their last three matches on the road. Napoli have also been ahead at half-time in eight of their previous 13 away fixtures.
Allegri nevertheless has personnel issues to manage. Scott McTominay underwent a minor heart procedure and is expected to miss several matches. Kevin De Bruyne could replace him in a midfield trio alongside Anguissa and Lobotka. Defensive alternatives are limited because new signing Badiashile is not yet ready to start. There is greater choice in attack, where Alisson Santos and Politano are expected to support Hojlund.
Napoli will aim to become a more difficult opponent after the setback against Como. Allegri's side need to raise their performance level, but their unbeaten six-match away run since late February and three consecutive clean sheets on the road show that they can travel with a solid recent record.
The available statistics give Inter the stronger starting position. The win probabilities stand at 52% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 23% for Napoli. Chivu's team have opened the season with successive victories, possess an extended scoring run at home and have lost only one of their last 28 Serie A matches. Their varied attacking options could help them test a Napoli defence currently operating with limited alternatives.
However, this fixture has not recently been straightforward for Inter. Across the last five meetings from their perspective, the Nerazzurri have recorded no wins, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The 2-2 result in January extended Inter's wait for a victory over Napoli to five games. That sequence offers the visitors reason to believe they can remain competitive despite the difference between the teams' opening results.
Goals at both ends are a central theme. Inter and Napoli have each found the net in both of their opening league fixtures, while both sides have scored in the last five head-to-head matches. Inter's run of scoring in 16 consecutive home games strengthens the expectation that the hosts will contribute, but Napoli's recent attacking average and strong away sequence indicate that the visitors also have a credible route to goal. The data assigns a 55% probability to both teams scoring, compared with 45% for the opposite outcome.
The match may ultimately depend on whether Napoli can contain Inter without surrendering their own attacking threat. The hosts enter with superior early-season momentum and a reliable home scoring record, while the visitors bring an encouraging run of away results and a favourable recent head-to-head sequence. Those contrasting factors point towards a close Serie A contest in which Inter have an advantage, but Napoli remain capable of making an impact in the final third.
Inter vs Napoli prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Napoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2