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Inter
7:00 PM
October 21, 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
Prediction published on Oct 19, 2026 8:33 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Oct 19, 2026 8:33 PM
Inter host Shakhtar Donetsk at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday, October 21, with the teams approaching their third Champions League league-phase match from contrasting positions. Inter are 29th after losing both of their opening fixtures, while 11th-placed Shakhtar have taken four points and remain unbeaten in the competition. Kick-off in Milano is scheduled for 19:00 local time. Inter need a response after defeats to Real Madrid and Club Brugge, but the visitors arrive on a six-match winning streak across competitions. Recent results, attacking records and an intriguing contrast in European away form all shape this Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk match preview.
Inter returned to winning ways on October 17 with a 3-1 victory away to Bologna. It followed a 4-3 home defeat to Club Brugge in their second Champions League match, a result that left them with no points from two European outings. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Inter have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their Champions League figures tell a more difficult story: two defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded.
The home side's scoring record offers encouragement. Inter have found the net in each of their last 21 matches and in each of their last 20 home games. Goals have also been a recurring feature of their fixtures overall: 20 of their last 21 matches have produced more than 1.5 total goals, as have 19 of their last 20 Champions League games. Each of their last 17 home matches has cleared that same total-goals mark. Those trends suggest Inter are capable of contributing to an open contest, although their recent European results make it harder to rely on goals alone to secure points.
The concern is particularly sharp at home in this competition. Inter have lost four consecutive Champions League matches at their own ground, part of a run of seven defeats in their last eight games in the tournament. Marcus Thuram has four goals and two assists across all competitions this season, while Carlos Augusto has three goals and two assists. Federico Dimarco created six chances and supplied an assist against Club Brugge. Inter will be without Lautaro Martinez, John Stones, Curtis Jones and Benjamin Pavard through injury.
Shakhtar Donetsk beat Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 on October 17, extending their winning sequence to six matches. They have won each of their last five, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game and conceding just 0.4. Across 12 competitive fixtures this season, their record stands at ten wins, one draw and one defeat. That momentum has carried into the Champions League: a 1-1 away draw against PSV Eindhoven was followed by a 3-1 home win over AEK Athens, leaving Shakhtar with one win and one draw from their first two league-phase matches.
The visitors have scored in each of their last 17 away matches and in 30 of their last 32 games overall. Their away results across competitions have also been resilient, with no defeat in 19 of their last 20. The Champions League away record is a significant counterpoint, however: Shakhtar have not won any of their last seven away matches in the competition proper, drawing two and losing five. Extending their unbeaten start to this campaign will require them to carry their broader form into a setting that has proved less rewarding.
Kaua Elias has scored three goals in all competitions this season, while Isaque Silva has four assists, including one on the previous Champions League matchday. Gleiker Mendoza has scored in both of Shakhtar's league games this season. Eguinaldo and Irakli Azarovi are ruled out, while Pedrinho and Pedro Henrique were rested at the weekend and could return to action. Shakhtar's recent output gives them attacking encouragement, even if their winless European away run remains a clear obstacle.
The head-to-head record favours Inter: they have two wins and three draws from five meetings with Shakhtar Donetsk, conceding no goals across those matches. Their most recent encounter ended 2-0 on November 24, 2021. That history contrasts with the teams' current Champions League starts. Inter have conceded an average of 3.0 goals across their first two fixtures this season, while Shakhtar have scored an average of 2.0. Inter's scoring streak and Shakhtar's recent form make the present attacking trends difficult to overlook, despite those earlier meetings.
There are reasons to expect chances beyond the opening stages. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Inter's last 20 Champions League matches and in 29 of Shakhtar's last 32 games across competitions. Inter's league-phase defeats put pressure on them to turn their scoring into a result, while Shakhtar have an opportunity to build on their four-point start. The visitors' European away record tempers their strong overall form, but Inter's run of home defeats in the competition leaves neither side with a straightforward case. The combination of Inter's recent high-scoring fixtures and both clubs' current scoring records points toward goals as the key theme of this meeting.
Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
4
6
9
1
4.5
6
4
10
0