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Prediction published on Sep 12, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Sep 12, 2026 5:03 PM
Inter host Udinese on Monday, September 14, 2026, in the match that completes the fourth round of the Serie A campaign. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milano. The defending Italian champions enter the fixture in second place after winning all three of their league games, while Udinese are 11th with one victory, one draw and one defeat. Inter will be looking for an immediate response after losing 2-1 to Real Madrid in their opening Champions League match. Udinese also suffered their first defeat of the season in their previous outing, conceding twice during the final quarter of an hour in a 2-1 home loss to Lazio. With Inter protecting a long unbeaten league run at home and both clubs averaging more than one goal per game, this Serie A match preview points towards an eventful contest.
Inter began their Serie A season with three consecutive victories and have averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per league match. They have found the net eight times in the competition, including three goals in a dramatic 3-2 comeback victory over Napoli. Across their last five matches in all competitions, Cristian Chivu's side have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals while conceding 1.0 per fixture.
The only setback in that sequence was the 2-1 defeat away to Real Madrid on September 8. Inter fell two goals behind after defensive errors and could not complete their recovery despite a goal from Carlos Augusto. That result ended their winning start to the season, but their domestic numbers remain highly convincing: Inter have avoided defeat in 27 of their last 28 Serie A matches.
Home form provides another strong foundation for the Nerazzurri. Their victory over Napoli extended their unbeaten Serie A run at home to 14 matches, consisting of 11 wins and three draws, while they have won five of their last six home fixtures. Inter have also scored in each of their last 17 matches on their own ground and in their last 14 home league games. At least two total goals have been recorded in their last 14 home matches, including each of the last 10 played in Serie A.
The second half has produced at least one goal in Inter's last 20 home fixtures and in their last 14 home league matches. They have not been behind at half-time in any of those 14 Serie A home games, while they have led at the interval in 17 of their last 28 league appearances. These sequences underline Inter's ability to remain competitive throughout matches and maintain attacking pressure at home.
Federico Dimarco, who missed the Real Madrid game with a minor injury, is expected to return. Carlos Augusto replaced him in that match, while Curtis Jones made his first start and Benjamin Pavard also came into the team. Djed Spence remains unavailable. In attack, Lautaro Martinez brings a notable record against the visitors, having scored seven Serie A goals against Udinese.
Udinese travel to Milano after their unbeaten start was ended by Lazio on September 7. They lost 2-1 at home after conceding two goals in the closing 15 minutes. Before that setback, Kosta Runjaic's team had progressed through two cup matches and remained unbeaten across their opening Serie A fixtures.
The visitors have one win, one draw and one loss in the league, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Their last five matches across all competitions have brought three victories, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals for and 1.2 against. Udinese have won four of their last six matches and lost only once during that period. They scored at least twice in every victory or draw within that sequence.
The Friulani opened their league campaign with an away victory and are now seeking consecutive Serie A wins on the road. Their recent attacking record outside their own ground offers encouragement, as Udinese have scored at least twice in five of their last six away fixtures. However, they have conceded two goals in each of their last two league matches, leaving a difficult defensive challenge against an Inter team that has scored in 16 consecutive games and 13 straight Serie A fixtures.
Keinan Davis could again have an important role. He supplied an assist and scored during Udinese's 2-1 win at this venue in August, while he also assisted Karlstrom against Lazio. Davis was substituted as a precaution in that defeat but is expected to continue leading the visitors' attack.
Udinese have several confirmed absentees. Jakub Piotrowski and Oumar Solet suffered injuries in the previous round, joining Nicolò Zaniolo, Matteo Palma, Juan Arizala and Alessandro Zanoli on the unavailable list. Those absences add to the difficulty of facing an Inter side with a perfect domestic record.
The available statistics establish Inter as the stronger side ahead of this Serie A encounter. The hosts have won all three league matches, are unbeaten in 14 home league fixtures and have scored at least once in each of their last 14 Serie A games at this ground. The supplied win probabilities give Inter a 69% chance, compared with 19% for a draw and 12% for an Udinese victory.
Nevertheless, Udinese cannot be dismissed. They won the most recent head-to-head meeting 1-0 on January 17, 2026, and their away scoring sequence suggests they can still create problems. Across the broader head-to-head summary, however, Inter have four victories and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match against Udinese.
Goals remain a relevant theme. Three of Inter's first four official games and three of Udinese's first five have produced at least three total goals. The probability for over 2.5 goals stands at 56%, although the both-teams-to-score assessment is evenly divided at 50%. Inter's sustained home scoring record and Udinese's average of 1.7 goals both scored and conceded in Serie A support the possibility of an open match, but the clearest statistical advantage concerns the result.
Inter's defeat in Madrid interrupted an otherwise excellent opening run, yet their domestic consistency, home record and attacking output make them the more convincing selection. Udinese have shown useful scoring form and recently won this fixture, but their defensive record and list of unavailable players strengthen the case for the reigning champions to collect a fourth consecutive Serie A victory.
Inter vs Udinese prediction from BetMines: Inter win (1) with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Inter
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
7
3
7
3