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Prediction published on Nov 3, 2025 11:33 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Nov 3, 2025 11:34 PM
The 32nd round of the Brazilian Serie A brings a crucial relegation battle this Wednesday, November 5, as Vitória host Internacional at the Estádio Manoel Barradas, better known as Barradão, in Salvador. Both sides are fighting to stay in the top flight, and with only a few games left in the season, every point could prove decisive. The match kicks off at 19:00 (Brasília time) and promises to be a tense affair between two teams desperate to avoid the drop.
Vitória enter this fixture sitting in 17th place with 31 points from 31 matches, just inside the relegation zone. The Rubro-Negro Baiano have shown flashes of improvement since the arrival of coach Jair Ventura, who has managed to inject some resilience into the team. Recent victories over Bahia and Santos gave fans hope, but back-to-back defeats against Corinthians and Cruzeiro have once again put their survival in jeopardy.
At home, Vitória have been far more competitive. The Barradão has proven to be a tough venue for visiting teams, with the hosts losing only four times there all season. This home advantage could play a decisive role, especially against an opponent that struggles away from Porto Alegre. However, Vitória will have to cope with several absences. Goalkeeper Lucas Arcanjo, midfielders Baralhas and Claudinho, defenders Jamerson and Fabrício, and forwards Fintelman and Ismael are all sidelined through injury. In addition, defender Zé Marcos is suspended after accumulating yellow cards. On the positive side, midfielder Ronald returns from suspension and is available for selection.
Despite the absences, Vitória’s fighting spirit has been evident in recent weeks. The team’s defensive organization has improved, and their ability to capitalize on home support could be key in this encounter. With the crowd behind them, they will look to exploit Internacional’s inconsistency and secure a result that could lift them out of the relegation zone.
Internacional currently occupy 15th place with 36 points from 31 matches. The Colorado are not yet safe and remain under pressure after a disappointing run of results. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Atlético Mineiro on November 2, a result that extended their poor run to just one win in their last five league games. During that stretch, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored per match while conceding 1.0 on average, highlighting their offensive struggles.
Under the guidance of Argentine coach Ramón Díaz, Internacional have endured a season plagued by injuries to key players. However, the situation has improved slightly, with only four players currently unavailable: Braian Aguirre, Sergio Rochet, Alan Rodríguez, and Lucca Drummond. The return of influential figures such as Alan Patrick, Rafael Borré, and Alexandro Bernabei provides a much-needed boost for the visitors.
Despite their quality, Internacional’s away form remains a major concern. They have managed to win only two matches on the road this season, often struggling to impose their style away from home. Their lack of cutting edge in attack and vulnerability in defense have cost them valuable points, and a trip to Salvador against a motivated Vitória side will be far from straightforward. A draw would likely be considered a positive outcome for the Gaúchos given their current circumstances.
This clash is expected to be a tight and physical contest, with both teams prioritizing defensive solidity over attacking flair. Vitória will rely heavily on their home advantage and the energy of the Barradão crowd to push them forward, while Internacional will aim to control possession and exploit counterattacking opportunities through players like Alan Patrick and Borré.
Historically, encounters between these two sides have been closely contested, and given their current form, another low-scoring affair seems likely. Vitória’s strong home record contrasts sharply with Internacional’s poor away performances, suggesting that the hosts have a slight edge. However, with both teams struggling for consistency, a draw cannot be ruled out.
Considering the context of the relegation battle, neither side will want to take excessive risks. Vitória will look to stay compact and capitalize on set pieces, while Internacional’s main goal will be to avoid defeat and maintain their cushion above the drop zone. The match could hinge on small details, such as defensive errors or moments of individual brilliance.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is an Internacional win (1) with a 53% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Bahia win (2) stands at 21%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Internacional
Bahia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1