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Prediction published on Oct 3, 2025 5:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Oct 3, 2025 7:14 AM
The Brasileirão Série A continues with a crucial clash on Saturday, October 4, 2025, as Internacional host Botafogo at 18:30. Both sides arrive with contrasting campaigns: while the visitors are pushing near the top of the table, the home team is still struggling to find consistency and stability under new management. With both clubs needing points for very different reasons, this encounter promises intensity and drama in Porto Alegre.
Internacional enter this fixture sitting 15th in the league, dangerously close to the relegation zone. Their recent form has been far from convincing, with just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. The most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Corinthians on October 1. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game.
Defensive fragility has been a recurring issue. Internacional have conceded at least one goal in their last 15 consecutive matches, while both teams have scored in their last 11 league games. This trend highlights their inability to keep clean sheets but also their capacity to find the net consistently. In fact, they have scored in their last 13 Serie A matches, showing that their attack remains functional despite their struggles.
At home, Internacional have also been vulnerable, losing at half-time in 6 of their last 10 Serie A matches. However, the Estádio Beira-Rio still provides some hope, as they have scored in each of their last 20 home games. Coach Ramón Díaz, recently appointed to steady the ship, will be without Drummond, Rochet, and Rodríguez due to injuries. Nevertheless, he can still count on key names such as Anthoni, Vitão, Thiago Maia, Bruno Henrique, Alan Patrick, Romero, Carbonero, and Borré to try and turn things around.
Botafogo travel to Porto Alegre in 4th place, looking to consolidate their position in the top four. Their recent form has been more stable than Internacional’s, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches. Most recently, they secured a 2-1 victory over Bahia on October 2. Over the season, they have collected 12 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and an impressive 0.8 goals conceded per game, underlining their defensive solidity compared to their opponents.
Despite their stronger league position, Botafogo have also faced challenges. Their head-to-head record against Internacional is dominant, with 4 wins in the last 5 meetings, including a resounding 4-0 victory earlier this season on May 11. This psychological edge could play a role as they look to extend their positive run.
Coach Davide Ancelotti has had to deal with several absences. Bastos, Danilo, Nathan Fernandes, and Neto are sidelined through injury, while Cuiabano is suspended. Alex Telles and Correa remain doubtful, and Montoro and Barrera are unavailable due to international duty. Even so, Botafogo still have a competitive squad with players like Léo Lick, Gabriel Bahia, Marçal, Marlon Freitas, Santiago Rodríguez, Savarino, Jeffinho, and Arthur Cabral ready to feature.
This match brings together two sides with very different objectives. Internacional are desperate for points to avoid slipping further into the relegation battle, while Botafogo are aiming to stay in the top four and keep their momentum alive. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses recently, but they also possess attacking options capable of punishing mistakes.
Internacional’s recent record suggests that goals are almost guaranteed: their last 11 Serie A matches have all seen both teams score. Botafogo, meanwhile, have been more balanced, but their attacking quality combined with Internacional’s leaky defense makes it likely that they will find the net again. The hosts will rely heavily on Alan Patrick’s creativity and Borré’s finishing, while Botafogo will look to Arthur Cabral and Savarino to provide the cutting edge.
Given the trends, this game is expected to be open and competitive, with both sides likely to score. Internacional’s home advantage could help them push for a result, but Botafogo’s superior squad depth and recent head-to-head dominance make them slight favorites. A narrow away win or a high-scoring draw seems the most plausible outcome.
Internacional vs Botafogo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Internacional
Botafogo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
10
0