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Prediction published on Nov 23, 2025 3:02 AM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on Nov 23, 2025 3:02 AM
The Beira-Rio Stadium will host a decisive clash on Monday, November 24, as Internacional and Santos face off at 21:00 in the 35th round of the Brazilian Serie A. Both teams are fighting to move further away from the relegation zone, making this a crucial encounter in their quest to secure top-flight status for next season. The match promises intensity and balance, with both sides dealing with key absences but determined to deliver a strong performance in this late-season showdown.
Internacional arrive motivated after a valuable 2-1 away victory against Ceará on November 21, a result that lifted them to 15th place in the table with 40 points — four clear of the relegation zone. The team has shown signs of defensive improvement despite several absences and now returns home hoping to capitalize on the support of their fans. Their recent record shows 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in the last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, Internacional have recorded 10 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
At the Beira-Rio, the team tends to perform better, often relying on their home crowd to push them forward. However, coach Eduardo Coudet faces several selection issues. Luis Otávio, Bruno Tabata, and Carbonero are suspended, while goalkeeper Ivan remains a doubt due to a thigh problem, potentially opening the door for Anthoni to start. On the positive side, Thiago Maia returns from suspension to strengthen the midfield, adding much-needed balance and defensive coverage. The likely lineup for Internacional includes: Anthoni (Ivan); Aguirre, Mercado, Vitão, Bernabei; Thiago Maia, Alan Rodríguez, Bruno Gomes, Alan Patrick; Vitinho, Rafael Santos Borré.
Statistically, Internacional’s matches have been lively in the second half — with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 27 of their last 30 Serie A games. This trend highlights their tendency to grow into matches and find late breakthroughs, especially at home. Historically, they have also dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last five head-to-head meetings against Santos, with three wins and two draws, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game.
Santos enter this round sitting 16th in the standings with 37 points, just one place above the relegation zone. The team is under pressure to secure a positive result to maintain their survival hopes. In their most recent outing, they drew 1-1 with Mirassol after taking an early lead, a result that left fans frustrated but still showed signs of improvement. Over their last five matches, Santos have also recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 9 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal difference that reflects their inconsistency.
Despite their struggles, Santos have been more productive in attack lately, largely thanks to Neymar, who has been in excellent form and remains the team’s main offensive reference. However, they will miss defender Zé Ivaldo due to suspension, forcing Luan Peres to step into the back line. Goalkeeper Gabriel Brazão continues to impress, providing stability between the posts. The probable lineup for Santos is: Gabriel Brazão; Igor Vinicius, Adonis Frias, Luan Peres, Souza; Willian Arão, João Schmidt, Zé Rafael; Barreal, Lautaro Díaz, Neymar.
On the road, Santos have shown a tendency for open matches, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 11 away games in Serie A. Furthermore, at least one goal has been scored in the second half in 22 of their last 24 league fixtures, underlining their attacking persistence. However, their defensive fragility remains an issue, as they have lost at half time in 7 of their last 10 away matches. The team’s challenge will be to maintain concentration and avoid early setbacks against a motivated Internacional side.
This encounter brings together two teams with similar recent trajectories and identical records over the last five games. Both have struggled for consistency but remain capable of producing strong performances when it matters most. Internacional will look to control the midfield through Thiago Maia and Alan Patrick, aiming to dictate the tempo and exploit spaces behind Santos’ defense. The home side’s main advantage lies in their collective organization and the energy of the Beira-Rio crowd, which often proves decisive in tight matches.
Santos, meanwhile, will rely heavily on Neymar’s creativity and finishing ability. His partnership with Lautaro Díaz and Barreal could be crucial in breaking down Internacional’s backline. However, the absence of key defenders may expose them to counterattacks, particularly down the flanks where Internacional’s full-backs like Bernabei often push forward. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, the match is expected to feature goals, especially in the second half, but the balance of play and home advantage slightly favor the hosts.
Historically, Internacional have had the upper hand in this fixture, and their current momentum after the win over Ceará suggests they could extend that dominance. Santos’ attacking potential cannot be underestimated, but their defensive vulnerabilities and away form raise doubts about their ability to secure all three points in Porto Alegre.
INTERNACIONAL (4-4-2): Anthoni (Ivan); Aguirre, Mercado, Vitão, Bernabei; Thiago Maia, Alan Rodríguez, Bruno Gomes, Alan Patrick; Vitinho, Rafael Santos Borré. Coach: E. Coudet
SANTOS (4-3-3): Gabriel Brazão; Igor Vinicius, Adonis Frias, Luan Peres, Souza; Willian Arão, João Schmidt, Zé Rafael; Barreal, Lautaro Díaz, Neymar. Coach: F. Carille
The most likely outcome is a Internacional win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Santos win (2) stands at 22%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Internacional
Santos
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
9
1