Ipswich Town host Arsenal in the third round of the Carabao Cup on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time. Ipswich are attempting to reach the fourth round for only the second time since the 2011-12 season, having progressed with a 3-1 victory over Leicester City in the previous round. Arsenal enter the contest as the defending runners-up and have been eliminated at this stage just once across their last 11 campaigns in the competition. The visitors also arrive with a perfect recent record, while Ipswich will take encouragement from a dramatic weekend victory and their productive home form. With both teams coming off wins on September 12, this cup tie brings together an ambitious home side and an Arsenal team carrying considerable momentum.

Ipswich Town Recent Form and Key Statistics

Ipswich Town prepared for this fixture by securing an entertaining 3-2 away win against Crystal Palace. They faced ten players during that match and found the decisive goal in the 90th minute, with Zian Flemming scoring the winner. The result was an important response after consecutive defeats against Manchester United and Liverpool, games in which Ipswich conceded a combined seven goals.

Across their last five matches, Ipswich have registered three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 2.2 per game. Those figures underline their ability to create chances but also highlight the defensive concerns that Arsenal may try to exploit. In the Carabao Cup this season, the hosts have one win from one match, averaging three goals scored and one conceded.

Home results offer Ipswich another source of encouragement. They have won three of their last four competitive matches at Portman Road Stadium, with only one defeat during that sequence. They have also been ahead at half-time in 11 of their previous 18 home fixtures, suggesting that a positive and energetic opening could be an important part of their approach.

There is uncertainty surrounding Emersonn after the striker was withdrawn against Crystal Palace. If he is unavailable, Flemming could take on a more prominent attacking role. Julio Enciso and Daizen Maeda are further options in the attacking unit, with Enciso recording two assists across his last four appearances.

Arsenal Recent Form and Key Statistics

Arsenal arrive in outstanding form after winning 2-0 away to Sunderland. David Raya saved a penalty during that victory, which extended the team's winning sequence to six matches beginning with the FA Community Shield. Their last-five record is perfect: five wins, no draws and no defeats, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded per match.

The visitors have been particularly dependable on the road. Three of their six consecutive victories have come away from home, while their wider competitive sequence stands at five straight away wins across either side of the summer. Arsenal have scored at least once in each of their last 18 away matches and in each of their previous 15 fixtures overall. However, all of their last 13 away games have produced fewer than 3.5 total goals, as have their last 26 matches in all venues.

Arsenal's first-half record is another notable feature. They have avoided going into the interval behind in their last 18 matches and in 20 of their previous 21 away fixtures. They have also led at half-time in nine of their last 14 games. In the Carabao Cup, each of their last 12 matches has contained at least one second-half goal, a sequence that is matched by their last 12 away games across competitions.

Ben White sustained a groin injury during the Sunderland match, leading to Jurrien Timber returning to action. Arsenal may make numerous changes, with Viktor Gyokeres, Mikel Merino, Martin Zubimendi, Eberechi Eze and Kepa among the players mentioned as possible starters. Gyokeres has contributed one goal and one assist across his last three Carabao Cup appearances. Bruno Guimaraes also made an impact from the bench against Sunderland, scoring during his appearance.

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal Match Analysis

The recent numbers establish Arsenal as the more consistent side. The visitors carry a 45% win probability, compared with 29% for Ipswich and 26% for the draw. Their defensive performance is especially persuasive, with only 0.2 goals conceded per match across the last five fixtures. Arsenal have also won six of their last seven meetings with Ipswich, keeping a clean sheet in every one of those victories.

The most recent head-to-head encounter ended in a 4-0 Arsenal victory on April 20, 2025. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Ipswich's perspective, the hosts have one win and four defeats, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Nevertheless, Ipswich can draw confidence from their last Carabao Cup meeting at this venue, when they recorded a 1-0 win in 2011.

Ipswich's recent matches point toward a more open pattern than Arsenal's. The hosts average 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over five games, while their latest outing produced five goals. Arsenal, by contrast, combine reliable scoring with a strong defensive record and a long sequence of matches staying under 3.5 goals. The supplied probabilities rate both teams to score at 53%, with the same 53% figure attached to over 2.5 total goals.

The opening period could be particularly significant. Ipswich have led at the break in 11 of their last 18 home matches, whereas Arsenal have not been behind at half-time in 18 consecutive games. With both sides showing strong first-half tendencies, an early goal would fit the statistical profile of this third-round contest. Arsenal's depth and winning sequence make them difficult opponents, but Ipswich's home record and weekend comeback indicate that the hosts should not be dismissed.

Ipswich Town vs Arsenal prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 80% probability.