The 2026 World Cup continues with an intriguing Group I opener between Iraq and Norway. For Iraq, this marks a long-awaited return to the global stage, four decades after their first appearance. Their qualification journey was one of endurance and resilience, spanning two years and 21 matches, culminating in a dramatic playoff victory over Bolivia. Norway, on the other hand, arrive with confidence after a flawless qualifying campaign, winning all eight matches and topping their group ahead of former world champions. Both sides now meet in Foxborough, aiming to begin their campaigns on a positive note.

Iraq’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Iraq enter this match as underdogs but with a sense of pride and determination. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one win in their last five outings (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). During that run, they averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The most recent result was a 0-2 defeat to Venezuela on June 10, a setback that highlighted their struggles in front of goal. However, the team did manage a morale-boosting 1-1 draw against Spain in a pre-tournament friendly, showing they can compete with higher-ranked opponents.

Historically, Iraq’s World Cup record is modest, with their only previous appearance ending in three defeats and a single goal scored. Yet, their defensive structure and fighting spirit remain their biggest assets. Much will depend on the leadership of their captain and goalkeeper, who is expected to play a crucial role in containing Norway’s prolific attack. The Lions of Mesopotamia will look to stay compact, frustrate their opponents, and capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities that arise.

• Ranking in World Cup: Iraq are 3rd in Group I.


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats.


• Average goals: 0.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per match.


• Recent result: Lost 0-2 vs Venezuela (10 June 2026).

Norway’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Norway arrive at the World Cup in strong form and with high expectations. Their qualification campaign was perfect — eight wins from eight matches — and they have continued to show consistency in competitive fixtures. In their last five games, Norway have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw against Morocco on June 7, a result that extended their streak of scoring in every match to 15 consecutive games.

Offensively, Norway are one of the most dangerous teams in the group. They have scored in nearly every recent fixture and tend to find the net especially in the second half — Over 0.5 goals in the second half has occurred in 24 of their last 26 matches. Their attacking duo, known for their clinical finishing and creativity, will be central to their hopes of breaking down Iraq’s defense. Defensively, however, Norway have shown occasional lapses, which could give Iraq a glimmer of hope.

• Ranking in World Cup: Norway are 4th in Group I.


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.


• Average goals: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per match.


• Recent result: Drew 1-1 vs Morocco (7 June 2026).


• At least 1 goal scored: in each of their last 15 matches.


• Over 0.5 goals in second half: in 24 of their last 26 matches.


• Unbeaten at half time: in 21 of their last 23 matches.

Iraq vs Norway Tactical Overview

This encounter promises a fascinating contrast of styles. Iraq are expected to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and quick transitions. Their main challenge will be containing Norway’s relentless forward play while trying to exploit any defensive gaps left by their opponents. The key for Iraq will be maintaining concentration and discipline, especially in the opening stages when Norway tend to dominate possession.

Norway, meanwhile, will look to impose their rhythm early, using their attacking depth and physical presence to create chances. Their recent record suggests they often grow stronger as the match progresses, particularly after halftime. If they can maintain their scoring consistency, they are likely to control the tempo and force Iraq onto the back foot. However, their occasional defensive vulnerabilities could make this match more open than expected, especially if Iraq manage to score first.

Given the current form and statistical trends, this fixture could produce goals at both ends. Iraq have scored in seven of their last ten matches, while Norway’s attack rarely fails to deliver. The balance of probabilities suggests that both teams are capable of finding the net, even if Norway remain the favorites to secure the win.

Prediction and Betting Insight

According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Iraq 15%, Draw 22%, and Norway 62%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is estimated at 46%, while Under 2.5 goals slightly edges Over 2.5 with 51% versus 49%. These figures highlight a likely scenario where Norway dominate but Iraq still manage to create scoring opportunities.

Considering Norway’s attacking consistency and Iraq’s resilience, the most balanced prediction leans toward Both Teams To Score (Yes). Norway’s offensive momentum and Iraq’s ability to strike on the counter could make this an entertaining opener in Group I.

Iraq vs Norway prediction by BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 46% probability.