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Prediction published on Jun 17, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in World - World Cup | Modified on Jun 17, 2026 3:02 PM
The second round of Group I in the 2026 World Cup brings an intriguing clash between France and Iraq. After a convincing 3-1 victory over Senegal, Les Bleus aim to continue their perfect start and secure early qualification for the knockout stages. Iraq, meanwhile, will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy 4-1 defeat to Norway in their opening match. The encounter in Philadelphia promises to be a test of resilience for the Lions of Mesopotamia against one of the tournament favorites.
France began their World Cup campaign with a solid 3-1 win over Senegal, a result that underlined their attacking depth and composure under pressure. It took them until the 66th minute to find the breakthrough, but once they did, they dominated the closing stages. The victory extended their impressive run of form — only one defeat in their last twelve international fixtures, with ten wins and one draw. Their only setback came in a narrow 2-1 loss to Ivory Coast earlier this month.
Les Bleus’ qualification campaign was equally strong, finishing top of their group with five wins and one draw. Their consistency in both attack and defense has been a hallmark of their recent performances. The team’s ability to control possession and create chances from wide areas makes them one of the most balanced sides in the competition. Having lifted the trophy in 2018 and reached the final in 2022, France are determined to go one step further this time and reclaim the world title.
Star forward Kylian Mbappé continues to be the focal point of France’s offense. His two goals against Senegal not only secured the win but also brought him closer to the all-time World Cup scoring record. With confidence high and momentum on their side, France will look to secure another emphatic victory to strengthen their position in Group I.
Iraq endured a tough start to their World Cup journey, suffering a 4-1 defeat to Norway. Despite briefly leveling the score at 1-1, they struggled to contain their opponents’ attacking power. That result extended their winless streak to three matches, following a draw with Spain and a loss to Venezuela in their pre-tournament friendlies. Their last victory came in a 1-0 win over Andorra at the end of May.
In their last five matches, Iraq have recorded one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging just 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.8. Their defensive vulnerabilities were evident against Norway, where they allowed four goals and struggled to maintain shape under pressure. The team’s World Cup record remains challenging — they have yet to win a match at the finals, losing all four of their appearances so far.
Forward Aymen Hussain provided a rare bright spot by scoring Iraq’s only goal against Norway. That strike marked his 34th international goal and his first since the crucial play-off win over Bolivia that secured Iraq’s qualification. However, the team faces an uphill battle to progress from the group, especially with France and Senegal still to come. To stand a chance, Iraq will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities that arise.
This matchup appears heavily tilted in favor of France. Their superior technical quality, tactical organization, and attacking options make them overwhelming favorites. Iraq’s defensive frailties could be exposed again, especially if France start with the same intensity they showed in the final stages against Senegal. Les Bleus are expected to dominate possession, press high, and look to score early to avoid the slow start they experienced in their opening game.
For Iraq, the key will be discipline and compactness. They will likely sit deep, absorb pressure, and hope to exploit set pieces or quick transitions. However, given France’s defensive solidity and attacking firepower, it will take an exceptional performance for Iraq to avoid defeat. The difference in experience and squad depth between the two sides is significant, and France will be eager to secure qualification before facing Norway in their final group fixture.
Historically, France have thrived in group stages, rarely dropping points against lower-ranked opponents. If they maintain their current rhythm, another high-scoring win seems likely. Iraq’s challenge will be to limit the damage and regain confidence ahead of their final group match.
France vs Iraq prediction by BetMines:
France win (1) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Iraq
Norway
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
6
4