Jagiellonia Białystok host Ararat-Armenia in the Europa League on October 15, with both sides looking for their first league-phase victory after opening defeats. It will be their first meeting. Jagiellonia return to Stadion Miejski after four consecutive losses, while Ararat-Armenia arrive unbeaten in their two matches since losing to Sparta Prague. Both teams have scored regularly in their recent fixtures, but neither kept a clean sheet in their opening league-phase game, giving this match an intriguing balance.

Jagiellonia Białystok's Recent Form and Key Stats

Jagiellonia Białystok have won one and lost four of their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game in that stretch. Their latest setback was a 3-1 home defeat to Górnik Zabrze on October 10. It was the second consecutive match in which Jagiellonia had conceded three goals, underlining the defensive problems that have accompanied their losing run.

The Polish side also began the Europa League league phase with a 2-1 defeat at Olympiacos. Although that result continued their recent downturn, Jagiellonia's wider Europa League record stands at three wins, one draw and one loss, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The contrast between that record and their current four-match losing streak makes their response in this home fixture particularly important.

Goals have been a consistent feature of Jagiellonia's matches: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 13 games. Their last 11 matches have also all featured at least one second-half goal. Those figures describe the combined scoring in their games, rather than goals scored by Jagiellonia alone, but they do point to a long sequence of fixtures that have not remained goalless after the break.

Ararat-Armenia's Recent Form and Key Stats

Ararat-Armenia had a difficult introduction to the Europa League league phase, losing 4-1 at home to Sparta Prague. The reigning Armenian champions are appearing in the league or group phase of a UEFA tournament for the first time, so their next opportunity to earn a result comes away to opponents who also lost their opening game.

Ararat-Armenia have responded to the Sparta defeat by taking four points from two domestic fixtures. They won 3-1 at Shirak Gyumri before drawing 1-1 with Alashkert on October 10. Across their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. That recent scoring average gives the visitors encouragement, even after their four-goal concession against Sparta.

The visitors have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 matches, a notable run as they prepare for this trip. Their Europa League figures stand at one win, one draw and one loss, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.7 conceded. While the 1-1 draw with Alashkert ended their chance of recording back-to-back domestic wins after the Shirak result, it extended their unbeaten response to the opening league-phase defeat.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia Match Analysis

The two sides enter this first-ever meeting from different positions in their recent runs. Jagiellonia have lost four in a row, including their opening league-phase match, whereas Ararat-Armenia have avoided defeat twice since their 4-1 loss to Sparta Prague. The supplied Europa League rankings place Jagiellonia 21st and Ararat-Armenia 33rd, but the latest results show why the home side cannot rely on that difference alone.

Scoring trends are central to the contest. Jagiellonia's last 13 matches have each produced at least two goals in total, and they have averaged 1.8 scored across their last five despite losing four of them. Ararat-Armenia, meanwhile, have found the net in 19 of their last 20 games and scored in each of their two domestic outings after facing Sparta. Both teams also scored in their opening league-phase defeats: Jagiellonia lost 2-1 at Olympiacos, while Ararat-Armenia lost 4-1 to Sparta Prague.

Neither opening result provides much reassurance defensively. Jagiellonia have conceded an average of two goals across their last five matches, and Ararat-Armenia conceded four against Sparta before allowing a goal in each of their next two fixtures. The visitors' recent unbeaten run gives them reason to approach this match with confidence, while Jagiellonia have a clear opportunity to halt their losing streak at home. With both teams seeking a first league-phase win, their established scoring runs and recent goals conceded make chances at both ends a reasonable focus for this Europa League preview.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.