On Wednesday, October 15, at Independence Park in Kingston, Jamaica hosts Bermuda in the 4th matchday of Group B of the 2026 CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers. The hosts, currently second with 6 points, are looking to bounce back after a 2-0 defeat against Curacao and aim to take advantage of Curacao’s tough match against Trinidad and Tobago to return to the top of the group and secure their second-ever World Cup appearance after France 1998. McClaren’s team enters as favorites against a Bermuda side still at zero points, sitting at the bottom of the table. For Bermuda, the only chance to stay in contention is an away win—a task far from easy considering their disappointing performance so far. Nevertheless, reaching this stage of the competition is already a small achievement for the visitors.

Jamaica's Form and Key Statistics

After a strong start in Group B of the CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers, with victories of 4-0 against Bermuda and 2-0 against Trinidad and Tobago, Jamaica suffered a setback in their last match on October 10, losing 2-0 away to Curacao.

After the first three matchdays, the Reggae Boyz collected 6 points from two wins and one loss, with an average of 2 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. The defeat to Curacao marked the first match in the group where Jamaica failed to score and also the first where their defensive record was broken.

Overall, in the CONCACAF World Cup qualifying campaign, Jamaica has recorded 6 wins and 1 loss, with an average of 2 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Additionally, Steve McClaren’s side has won three of their last four home matches, losing only once, confirming their solidity at Independence Park.

Bermuda's Form and Key Statistics

Bermuda is going through a difficult phase, having suffered three consecutive defeats and remaining at zero points in Group B of the 2026 CONCACAF World Cup qualifiers. Their last loss came on October 10, a heavy 3-0 home defeat against Trinidad and Tobago, currently the third-placed team in the group.

After the first three matchdays, Bermuda has yet to collect points, having conceded 10 goals (an average of 3.34 per match) and scored only 2 (0.67 per game). These numbers highlight the struggles of Kyle Findlay’s side, now called to show pride in a tough away match against Jamaica.

Including the previous qualification phase, Bermuda’s overall record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.57 goals scored and 2.57 conceded per match. Their away form, however, remains a weakness: just one victory and three defeats in the last four away games.

Jamaica vs Bermuda Prediction by BetMines

Jamaica is clearly favored to take the three points against Bermuda, repeating the result from the first-leg match, when the Reggae Boyz won 4-0 away on September 6.

According to BetMines’ algorithm, Jamaica has a 63% probability of winning, while Bermuda’s chances are estimated at 16%, with a draw at 20%.

Considering the first-leg outcome, Jamaica’s attacking form, and Bermuda’s defensive struggles, BetMines recommends the Over 2.5 goals tip, predicting at least three goals will be scored in total.

The Over 2.5 goals outcome, given a 59% probability, has been a constant in Bermuda’s games, occurring in nine of the last ten matches played by Kyle Findlay’s national team.

Probable Lineups Jamaica vs Bermuda

JAMAICA (4-2-3-1): Blake; Bell, King, Pinnock, Lembikisa; Hayden, Palmer; Cephas, Russell, Campbell; Cadamarteri. Coach: McClaren

BERMUDA (4-2-3-1): Eve; Jones, Leverock, Twite, Hill; Martin, Clemons; Crichlow, Lambe, Parfitt-Williams; Wells. Coach: Findlay