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Prediction published on Mar 18, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 18, 2026 9:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Jong Ajax and Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 33rd round. Scheduled for Friday, March 20, this encounter brings together two sides in contrasting positions on the table but both showing solid form in recent weeks. Almere City currently sit sixth with 49 points from 32 matches, while Jong Ajax occupy the 18th spot with 32 points. Despite the difference in ranking, the recent performances of both teams suggest that this could be a tightly contested match in Amsterdam.
Jong Ajax have shown significant improvement lately, climbing out of a difficult spell with a series of positive results. In their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and only one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-1 away victory against VVV-Venlo on March 17, a result that underlines their growing confidence.
Over the course of the season, Jong Ajax’s record stands at 8 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. One of the most consistent trends in their games has been the high frequency of second-half goals — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 26 of their last 28 matches. This pattern suggests that their matches often come alive after the break, with plenty of late drama and attacking exchanges.
Although their league position remains low, the recent momentum and improved attacking output make Jong Ajax a more dangerous opponent than their ranking might imply. Their young squad has found a rhythm, and playing at home could further boost their confidence against a strong Almere City side.
Almere City FC continue to impress in the Eerste Divisie, maintaining a solid position in the top half of the table. With 15 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats this season, they have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their last five fixtures have produced three victories, one draw, and one loss, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Most recently, they drew 2-2 against RKC Waalwijk on March 17, showing both their attacking potential and occasional defensive vulnerabilities.
Almere City’s away form has been particularly noteworthy. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 away matches, and over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in their last 10 away fixtures. Furthermore, both teams have scored in each of those 10 matches, underlining their open and entertaining style of play. The trend of late goals continues for Almere as well — over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 37 of their last 38 matches, a remarkable statistic that highlights their attacking persistence throughout games.
With such consistency in front of goal, Almere City will enter this match confident of finding the net again. However, their defensive record suggests that keeping a clean sheet might be difficult, especially against a rejuvenated Jong Ajax side.
The recent meetings between Jong Ajax and Almere City have often been high-scoring affairs. Their last encounter ended 3-2 on December 5, 2025, with Almere City taking the win. Across their last five head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax have won twice and lost three times, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. These numbers suggest that goals are almost guaranteed when these two sides meet.
From a tactical perspective, both teams favor attacking football, often leaving spaces at the back. Jong Ajax’s youthful energy and Almere City’s experience create an interesting contrast. The home side will likely rely on quick transitions and creativity in the final third, while Almere City’s strength lies in their ability to sustain pressure and capitalize on chances away from home. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, another open and entertaining match seems likely.
All indicators point toward a lively and balanced match. Jong Ajax’s recent form suggests they are capable of challenging stronger opponents, while Almere City’s attacking consistency makes them a threat in any fixture. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede frequently, especially in the second half, which could lead to another high-scoring encounter.
Given the statistical trends and the offensive nature of both sides, this fixture is expected to produce goals on both ends. The combination of Jong Ajax’s home advantage and Almere City’s away scoring streak makes predicting a clear winner difficult, but it almost guarantees entertainment for the fans.
Jong Ajax vs Almere City prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong Ajax
Almere City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
6
4
7
3