Tools
Jong Ajax
6:00 PM
October 19, 2026
De Graafschap
Prediction published on Oct 17, 2026 6:07 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 17, 2026 6:07 PM
Jong Ajax host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie on Monday, October 19, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Sportpark De Toekomst. Both teams have found points difficult to collect across their first ten league matches, but they arrive in contrasting recent form. Jong Ajax are 18th and have gone four games without a win, while 16th-placed De Graafschap have taken three victories from their last five. That contrast gives this fixture significance for two sides looking to improve their positions.
Jong Ajax have eight points from ten Eerste Divisie matches, with a record of two wins, two draws and six defeats. They beat Almere City FC 1-0 before a four-match winless run that included losses to RKC Waalwijk, Jong FC Utrecht and VVV-Venlo, plus a goalless draw with Roda JC. Their most recent result was a 3-0 defeat to VVV-Venlo on October 9.
Across their last five matches, Jong Ajax have won once, drawn once and lost three times. The difference between their attacking and defensive numbers is striking: they have averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over that stretch. Their full-season figures are 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded per league game. After drawing a blank against both Roda JC and VVV-Venlo, they will be looking for a stronger response in front of goal.
There are also two recurring patterns in Jong Ajax's match statistics. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 30 of their last 33 Eerste Divisie matches, including 18 of their last 20 home league games. Meanwhile, their home fixtures have produced more than 7.5 total corners in 19 of the last 20 league matches. Those figures describe games that have frequently remained active after the interval, even though Jong Ajax's recent results have been disappointing.
De Graafschap have collected 11 points from ten league fixtures, recording three wins, two draws and five defeats. Although their season record remains mixed, their recent results have been stronger than Jong Ajax's. They have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game during that period. Their latest outing brought a 2-1 victory over Jong FC Utrecht on October 9.
Other results cited from this run include wins against FC Emmen and FC Den Bosch, a 2-2 draw with FC Eindhoven and a 2-1 defeat to NAC Breda. De Graafschap have therefore been finding ways to score and collect points, though their season averages of 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match show that they have also had defensive difficulties. The trip to Jong Ajax gives them an opportunity to build on their improved recent record.
De Graafschap's games have also started with regular goalmouth reward: at least one first-half goal has been scored in each of their last 12 matches, including their last ten in the Eerste Divisie. That sequence stands out alongside Jong Ajax's frequent second-half goals and suggests that the timing of goals is worth watching throughout this encounter.
The clearest contrast ahead of this Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap preview is recent form. Jong Ajax have taken one win from five and conceded an average of 2.2 goals in those games; De Graafschap have won three of five while averaging 1.6 goals scored. The visitors' stronger run gives them momentum, but their season-long average of 2.3 goals conceded leaves room for Jong Ajax to contribute to the scoreline.
The broader scoring figures also point towards a match with chances. Jong Ajax's league games have averaged 1.3 goals for and 2.5 against, while De Graafschap's have averaged 1.3 for and 2.3 against. Among the cited recent results are Jong Ajax's 6-1 defeat to Jong FC Utrecht and 3-0 loss to VVV-Venlo, as well as De Graafschap's 2-2 draw with FC Eindhoven and 2-1 win over Jong FC Utrecht. A goalless draw against Roda JC is a reminder that Jong Ajax's games do not always follow the same pattern, but their defensive numbers and De Graafschap's recent scoring record provide a clear basis for expecting goals.
The teams' last meeting finished 4-0 on February 6, 2026. Across the five head-to-head matches in the supplied summary, Jong Ajax have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. That balanced record makes recent performances particularly relevant here: De Graafschap have been collecting more points lately, while Jong Ajax will want to end their four-match wait for a win.
Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong Ajax
De Graafschap
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
6
4
7
3