Tools
Jong Ajax
5 - 1
FT
Helmond Sport
Prediction published on Feb 25, 2026 9:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 25, 2026 9:05 PM
The Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides looking to improve their consistency. Scheduled for February 27, this fixture brings together the bottom team and the fourteenth-placed side in the standings. Both clubs have endured mixed results in recent weeks, and with their defensive fragility, fans could be in for an open and entertaining contest.
Jong Ajax have experienced a turbulent campaign so far, sitting twentieth in the Eerste Divisie table. Their recent form reflects this inconsistency, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five matches. The young Amsterdam side drew 0-0 against FC Emmen in their most recent outing, showing some defensive improvement but still struggling to convert chances into goals.
Across the season, Jong Ajax have recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. Their defensive record remains a concern, as they often allow opponents too much space in the final third. However, the team’s attacking potential is evident, with players like Kayden Wolff and Don O’Niel contributing five goals each and combining for several assists.
At home, Jong Ajax’s matches tend to be lively. Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 25 of their last 27 Eerste Divisie games, and goals frequently arrive after the break — at least one second-half goal has been scored in 22 of their last 24 fixtures. Despite their struggles, the young side’s energy and attacking intent make them unpredictable opponents capable of surprising stronger teams.
Helmond Sport enter this match in slightly better shape, sitting fourteenth in the table with 32 points from 28 matches. Their recent run includes two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In their last outing, they fell 1-3 to ADO Den Haag, a result that exposed some defensive vulnerabilities but also highlighted their willingness to attack even away from home.
Over the course of the season, Helmond Sport have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. The team’s standout performer has been Maik Lukowicz, who has already netted ten goals this season and remains their main attacking threat. Like their opponents, Helmond Sport’s matches are rarely dull — over 7.5 corners have been taken in 21 of their last 22 games, underlining their attacking approach.
Helmond Sport’s away form has been inconsistent, but they have shown the ability to grind out results against mid-table sides. Their recent victories over Den Bosch and Almere City demonstrate that they can be dangerous when given space to counterattack. However, defensive lapses remain a recurring issue, particularly against teams that press high and move the ball quickly.
The recent history between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport is evenly balanced. In their last five meetings, both sides have won twice and drawn once, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per team. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Jong Ajax on November 24, 2025, a result that suggests another close contest could be on the cards.
Both teams have a tendency to concede easily, which often leads to high-scoring matches. Jong Ajax’s defensive line has struggled to maintain concentration, while Helmond Sport’s back four can be exposed by quick transitions. Given these patterns, it would not be surprising to see goals at both ends once again.
Statistically, both sides average over one goal per game, and their combined defensive records point toward another open encounter. The fact that Jong Ajax have lost at half time in 8 of their last 13 matches suggests they often start slowly, while Helmond Sport’s ability to capitalize on early chances could be decisive. However, the home side’s youthful energy and attacking flair might help them recover if they fall behind.
Considering the attacking tendencies and defensive weaknesses of both teams, this fixture looks set to produce goals. The data supports this expectation: Over 2.5 goals has been the outcome in a majority of their recent matches, and both teams have a high probability of scoring. According to the latest figures, the probability for Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%, while Both Teams To Score – Yes is also rated at 58%.
With Jong Ajax’s home matches frequently featuring multiple goals and Helmond Sport’s away games often turning into end-to-end battles, the most logical prediction leans toward another high-scoring affair. The combination of youthful exuberance from Jong Ajax and the experience of Helmond Sport’s attack should ensure an entertaining contest.
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport prediction by BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
9
1