The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and RKC Waalwijk promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides with very different trajectories this season. Scheduled for Monday, December 22, this fixture marks the 21st round of the campaign and could prove crucial for both teams as they look to improve their standings. While RKC Waalwijk are aiming to climb closer to the promotion zone, Jong Ajax are desperately seeking points to escape the bottom of the table. Despite the apparent gap in form, both sides have shown flashes of attacking potential, suggesting that this could be a lively contest.

Jong Ajax’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Jong Ajax enter this match in a difficult position, sitting 20th in the Eerste Divisie with just 12 points from 20 matches. Their season record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats highlights their struggles to find consistency. In their last five outings, they managed only one victory—a 2-0 win over Vitesse—while suffering four defeats against FC Eindhoven, Helmond Sport, Almere City FC, and MVV Maastricht. The most recent setback came on December 12, when they lost 2-1 to MVV Maastricht.

Despite their poor results, Jong Ajax have shown some attacking intent, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. However, their defensive issues remain a major concern, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per match. A recurring trend in their games is the high activity after the break: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 36 of their last 40 league matches. This pattern suggests that their matches often open up as the game progresses. Additionally, they have trailed at half-time in seven of their last ten fixtures, underlining their tendency to start slowly.

• Ranking: 20th in Eerste Divisie


• Season record: 2 wins, 6 draws, 12 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.4 per match


• Average goals conceded: 2.0 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 36 of the last 40 matches


• Lost at half-time in 7 of the last 10 matches

At home, Jong Ajax have also struggled to impose themselves, with several low-scoring games—three of their last eleven home fixtures ended with under 0.5 goals. To turn things around, they will need to show more resilience and sharper finishing in front of goal.

RKC Waalwijk’s Recent Form and Key Stats

RKC Waalwijk approach this fixture in better shape, currently 13th in the Eerste Divisie standings. After being relegated from the Eredivisie last season, their campaign has been inconsistent but not without promise. They have collected 26 points from 20 matches, with a record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats. Their attacking output has been solid, averaging 1.6 goals per game, while conceding 1.7 on average.

In their last five matches, RKC have recorded two victories and three defeats. The highlight came in the KNVB Cup, where they demolished HSC ’21 by an astonishing 0-9 scoreline on December 18. Before that, they suffered consecutive league losses against Jong PSV, VVV-Venlo, and Vitesse, but earlier managed a narrow 1-0 home win over MVV Maastricht. Their away form has been lively, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 away matches, showing their ability to stay competitive until the final whistle.

• Ranking: 13th in Eerste Divisie


• Season record: 7 wins, 5 draws, 8 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.6 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.7 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of the last 20 away matches


• Last match: 0-9 win against HSC ’21 (KNVB Cup)

RKC’s attacking confidence, boosted by their recent cup triumph, could make them dangerous opponents for Jong Ajax. However, their defensive lapses have cost them points throughout the season, and maintaining focus against a side eager to respond at home will be key.

Jong Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis and Prediction

Historically, meetings between Jong Ajax and RKC Waalwijk have been fairly balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five encounters. The most recent clash ended 2-1 earlier this season, showing that both teams are capable of finding the net. Given their current form, another open and competitive match seems likely.

Jong Ajax’s defensive fragility and RKC’s attacking momentum suggest that goals could be on the cards. Both teams have a tendency to score and concede in the second half, which could make the latter stages of the game particularly entertaining. Still, with Jong Ajax struggling to convert performances into points and RKC showing inconsistency away from home, a draw appears a plausible outcome.

According to the latest probabilities, RKC Waalwijk have a 58% chance of winning, while Jong Ajax’s chances stand at 23%, and a draw at 20%. The data also points to a high likelihood of goals, with Over 2.5 goals at 66% probability and Both Teams To Score – Yes at 63%.

Jong Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 66% probability.