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Jong Ajax
1 - 2
FT
TOP Oss
Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 6:02 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and TOP Oss brings together two sides struggling near the bottom of the table. Scheduled for Monday, April 13, this fixture represents a crucial opportunity for both teams to restore some pride and possibly climb a few places before the end of the season. With only a handful of matches remaining, neither side can afford another setback, and the encounter promises to be tense and unpredictable.
Jong Ajax currently sit at the foot of the Eerste Divisie standings, ranked 20th with 32 points from 35 matches. Their campaign has been disappointing, marked by inconsistency and defensive fragility. The team’s recent form highlights these struggles: in their last five matches, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 2.8. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 6-1 loss against Vitesse on April 6, underlining the defensive issues that have plagued them all season.
Across the season, Jong Ajax’s record stands at 8 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Despite their struggles, their home fixtures tend to produce action: Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home games, and Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 matches overall. These numbers suggest that while results have been poor, Jong Ajax’s matches are rarely dull, often featuring open play and late goals.
TOP Oss are only slightly better off, sitting 19th in the table with 35 points from 35 games. Their season has been equally inconsistent, though they come into this fixture on a more positive note after a 3-1 victory against Jong FC Utrecht on April 6. Over their last five matches, TOP Oss have managed 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their attacking output has improved, but defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points.
For the season, their record reads 8 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Matches involving TOP Oss are typically lively: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 17 games, and Over 0.5 goals in the second half have occurred in their last 13 Eerste Divisie fixtures. Defensively, they have conceded at least one goal in each of those 13 matches, showing that clean sheets have been hard to come by. Their games also tend to feature plenty of set-piece action, with Over 7.5 corners in 21 of their last 22 matches.
The recent history between these sides suggests a balanced contest. In their last five meetings, Jong Ajax have won once, TOP Oss twice, and two matches have ended in draws. The most recent encounter, played on October 21, 2025, finished 1-1. On average, Jong Ajax have scored 0.8 goals per match against TOP Oss, while conceding 1.0. These figures reinforce the expectation of a tight and competitive game, with neither side holding a clear advantage.
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede, and their attacking numbers suggest that goals are likely at both ends. With Over 2.5 goals occurring in 61% of their combined recent matches and Both Teams To Score (Yes) also at 61%, spectators could be treated to an open and entertaining encounter. However, given their similar weaknesses and the pressure of avoiding last place, a cautious start could also be on the cards before the match opens up in the second half.
Considering the form and statistics, this fixture appears evenly balanced. Jong Ajax will rely on their home advantage and attacking potential to bounce back from recent defeats, while TOP Oss will look to build on their latest win and exploit the defensive gaps of their opponents. Both sides have struggled for consistency, and their defensive records suggest that maintaining a clean sheet will be difficult for either team.
Given the data, a high-scoring draw seems plausible, with both teams likely to find the net. The match could hinge on which side manages to stay composed in the closing stages, as both have shown a tendency to concede late goals. The overall balance of probabilities points towards a tight contest where neither team dominates for long periods.
Jong Ajax vs TOP Oss prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 24% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
6
4
8
2