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Jong Ajax
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VVV-Venlo
Prediction published on Oct 7, 2026 6:29 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 7, 2026 6:29 PM
Jong Ajax host VVV-Venlo in the Eerste Divisie on October 9, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time at Sportpark De Toekomst in Amsterdam. The teams arrive with contrasting records after nine league matches: Jong Ajax are 17th with eight points, while VVV-Venlo are third with 18. The home side have won twice this season and will be looking to improve on a difficult opening stretch. VVV-Venlo, by contrast, have six victories from nine games and have won three of their last four. This Jong Ajax vs VVV-Venlo preview examines the form, scoring figures and head-to-head record behind the contest.
Jong Ajax have recorded two wins, two draws and five defeats in the Eerste Divisie. Their last five matches have produced one victory, two draws and two losses, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Across the season, those figures stand at 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded. The gap between their recent scoring rate and VVV-Venlo's attacking numbers is a concern heading into this fixture.
There has been a mix of results for the home side. Jong Ajax beat Almere City 1-0 away from home, but also lost 2-0 to RKC Waalwijk and 6-1 to Jong Utrecht. A 0-0 draw against Roda JC Kerkrade on September 18 showed they can keep a clean sheet, although it did not improve their recent scoring average. Against a visiting team with six league wins already, Jong Ajax will need a stronger result than their season record has generally delivered.
There are also patterns in Jong Ajax's home matches beyond the final score. Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie home games. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their last 20 home league matches, while the same has happened in 29 of their last 32 league fixtures overall. These figures describe total match events, rather than goals scored by Jong Ajax alone.
VVV-Venlo have made the stronger start, collecting 18 points through six wins and three defeats, without a draw. They beat Roda JC Kerkrade 2-0 on October 4 and have won three of their last four matches. Their last-five record is three wins and two losses, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. That recent scoring rate is close to their season average of 2.6 goals per league match, alongside 1.6 conceded.
The visitors' attack has been notably consistent: VVV-Venlo have scored at least twice in each of their last 10 Eerste Divisie matches. Their last 12 league games have also all featured over 1.5 total goals. The source article credits VVV-Venlo with 23 goals this season and says they have won half of their away matches. Those details give the visitors a positive record to take into this trip, even though their five-match figures show that they have not avoided defeats altogether.
Other trends reinforce the possibility of an active contest. VVV-Venlo have led at half-time in six of their last 10 league games. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 33 of their last 35 Eerste Divisie matches, and over 8.5 corners have been taken in 23 of their last 25 league fixtures. None of those sequences guarantees a repeat on October 9, but they provide useful context for a side that has regularly found goals.
The clearest difference between these teams is their record across the first nine rounds. VVV-Venlo have six wins to Jong Ajax's two, sit 10 points ahead of the hosts and bring a much higher recent scoring average into the match. Jong Ajax's 0-0 draw with Roda JC Kerkrade offers an example of a tighter game, yet their two defeats in the last five and season average of 2.4 goals conceded underline the challenge posed by VVV-Venlo's attack.
The head-to-head figures also favour the visitors. From Jong Ajax's perspective, the supplied summary shows one win and four defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 1-0 to VVV-Venlo on March 17, 2026. Previous results cannot decide this fixture, but they add to the contrast already visible in the teams' current league records.
VVV-Venlo have the stronger case on form and scoring, while Jong Ajax's home corners and second-half goal trends suggest there could still be plenty happening across the 90 minutes. The visitors' three wins in their last four matches and their run of scoring at least twice in 10 straight league games make them the more compelling side on the evidence available. Jong Ajax will be aiming to disrupt that pattern and improve a record of one win in their last five.
Jong Ajax vs VVV-Venlo prediction from BetMines: VVV-Venlo win (2) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong Ajax
VVV-Venlo
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0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
6
4
3
7
4.5
6
4
6
4