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Jong Ajax
2 - 1
FT
Willem II
Prediction published on Jan 31, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 31, 2026 9:04 PM
The Eerste Divisie action continues on Monday with an intriguing clash between Jong Ajax and Willem II. While the Amsterdam side are struggling at the bottom of the table, the visitors from Tilburg are pushing for a promotion play-off spot. Both teams come into this fixture with contrasting momentum, making this encounter at De Toekomst a fascinating one for fans and bettors alike.
Jong Ajax currently sit in 20th place in the Eerste Divisie, having collected just 16 points from 23 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency and defensive fragility, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. In their last five outings, they have managed only one victory — a 2-1 win over Jong AZ — alongside one draw and three defeats. The most recent result was a 2-2 draw against Roda JC Kerkrade on January 19, which at least showed some attacking improvement.
At home, Jong Ajax have struggled to impose themselves, often conceding early and finding it difficult to recover. They have lost at half time in seven of their last ten matches, a sign of their slow starts. However, their games tend to be lively, with over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in 21 of their last 23 league fixtures. Corners are also a common feature — over 7.5 corners have been taken in 21 of their last 22 Eerste Divisie matches, reflecting their open style of play.
Despite their position, the young Ajax side have shown flashes of potential, particularly in attack. Their ability to create chances remains intact, but defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points. Facing a more experienced Willem II side will be a stern test of their resilience and discipline.
Willem II enter this match in 8th place with 36 points from 23 games, maintaining a solid record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats. Their recent form has been encouraging, with the team unbeaten in their last three matches. They drew 2-2 with Helmond Sport before securing back-to-back victories against FC Eindhoven (2-0) and VVV-Venlo (2-1). This run has reignited their hopes of climbing into the promotion play-off zone.
Statistically, Willem II have been consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their away performances have been particularly entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last ten away fixtures. They also tend to start strongly, as over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in all of those games. Corners are another recurring theme, with over 7.5 corners taken in 30 of their last 32 matches — a sign of their attacking intent and width in play.
Willem II’s last head-to-head meeting with Jong Ajax ended in a 1-0 victory back in September 2025. Historically, they have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five encounters while losing just once. Their experience and balance between attack and defense could once again prove decisive against a youthful opponent.
This fixture brings together two sides with very different objectives. Jong Ajax are fighting to escape the bottom of the table, while Willem II are aiming to consolidate their position in the top half and push for promotion. The home side’s defensive issues are well-documented, but their attacking energy could still trouble the visitors, especially in the early stages.
For Willem II, maintaining their recent momentum will be key. Their ability to score regularly, combined with a more structured defensive setup, gives them a clear edge. However, Jong Ajax’s unpredictability and the attacking nature of their home games suggest that both teams could find the net. The stats also point towards a lively contest, with a high probability of goals and corners throughout the match.
Given the current form and statistical trends, this encounter is expected to be competitive but slightly tilted in favor of the visitors. Willem II’s experience and efficiency in front of goal could make the difference, though Jong Ajax’s youthful enthusiasm might ensure the game remains open until the final whistle.
Jong Ajax vs Willem II prediction by BetMines:
Willem II win (2) with 47% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong Ajax
Willem II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
10
0
4.5
6
4
10
0