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Prediction published on Oct 7, 2026 6:28 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 7, 2026 6:28 PM
Jong AZ host FC Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie on October 9, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 at the AFAS Trainingscomplex. The teams enter the match in different positions: Jong AZ are 10th with 13 points from nine games, while FC Den Bosch are 16th with eight. The home side have recovered from a difficult opening stretch, winning three of their last five matches. Den Bosch have found results harder to come by, although a win and a draw among their three most recent fixtures offer some encouragement. Jong AZ’s scoring form and Den Bosch’s record of conceding away from home make goals a central theme of this match preview.
Jong AZ have won four, drawn one and lost four of their nine Eerste Divisie matches. Three defeats in their first four games left them with ground to make up, but their more recent results tell a better story: the last five have brought three wins, one draw and one defeat. That run includes a 4-1 victory over FC Volendam on September 18.
The home team’s matches have featured plenty of scoring at both ends. Jong AZ average 2.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game across the league season. Over their last five matches, those figures have risen to 3.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Their attack has therefore been productive during the recent improvement in results, though the goals conceded show that opponents have also had opportunities.
The longer-term goal trends reinforce that picture. At least two total goals have been scored in 29 of Jong AZ’s last 30 matches, including 29 of their last 30 in the Eerste Divisie. Their games have also produced at least one first-half goal in 30 of the last 33, while each of their last 13 league matches has featured a second-half goal. For Jong AZ, a strong attacking return has rarely meant a quiet match.
FC Den Bosch have recorded two wins, two draws and five defeats in their first nine league games. Their last five have produced one win, one draw and three losses, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. They have lost four of their last six, but recent results include a 2-1 win over Helmond Sport and a 1-1 draw with FC Dordrecht on October 3. Between those matches, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to De Graafschap.
Across the season, Den Bosch average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per Eerste Divisie match. The away defensive record presents a particular challenge for this fixture: they have conceded at least once in each of their last 18 away matches, a sequence that includes their last 17 league trips. They have also allowed a goal in each of their last 17 matches overall.
Den Bosch’s games have regularly cleared the two-goal mark, with at least two total goals in 29 of their last 31 matches and 25 of their last 27 league fixtures. There has often been late scoring from both sides, too: both teams found the net in the second half in 11 of Den Bosch’s last 15 Eerste Divisie matches. Those figures do not guarantee a repeat, but they underline how frequently their fixtures have remained open after the interval.
Jong AZ have the stronger recent record, and their average of three goals scored across the last five games gives them a clear attacking platform. Den Bosch, meanwhile, must try to improve on a run of away matches without a clean sheet. The visitors’ win over Helmond Sport and draw with FC Dordrecht show they can collect points, so Jong AZ’s league position alone does not settle the contest.
The teams’ most recent meeting ended 2-2 on February 23, 2026. Their last two encounters both featured at least four goals, while Jong AZ’s head-to-head record against Den Bosch stands at one win, three draws and one loss across the five matches in the supplied summary. Another close result is possible, but the current scoring figures make the total-goals question especially relevant.
Jong AZ have scored freely without consistently keeping opponents out, and Den Bosch’s season average of two goals conceded per match adds to the case for an eventful game. At the same time, the visitors’ recent scoring average of 0.8 goals across five matches is a reason not to assume they will contribute heavily themselves. The balance of the available evidence points more firmly to goals in the match than to a specific scoreline: Jong AZ’s attacking form, Den Bosch’s concession streak and the recent head-to-head scores all support that view.
Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
FC Den Bosch
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
5
5
8
2