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Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming Keuken Kampioen Divisie round features an intriguing clash between Jong AZ and FC Den Bosch, two reserve sides looking to climb the mid-table positions. The match will take place in Alkmaar, where the home team will try to end a poor home run, while the visitors aim to build on their recent victory. Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, suggesting that this encounter could deliver plenty of goalmouth action.
Jong AZ currently sit 16th in the Eerste Divisie standings, having collected 29 points from 27 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, but they remain one of the most entertaining sides to watch. In their last five games, they recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an impressive average of 2.8 goals per match while conceding 1.6. Their most recent success came with a convincing 0-3 win over TOP Oss on February 13, 2026.
Despite their attacking flair, the Alkmaar youngsters have struggled at home, losing at half time in each of their last six home fixtures. They have also gone 18 consecutive league matches without a draw, underlining their all-or-nothing approach. Goals are almost guaranteed when Jong AZ play: the last ten matches have all featured Over 2.5 goals, and every one of those games saw at least one goal in the second half. Their season averages of 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match confirm their open style of play.
With such numbers, it’s clear that Jong AZ’s matches rarely lack excitement, though their defensive lapses often cost them valuable points.
FC Den Bosch occupy 10th place in the table with 37 points from 27 matches, eight more than their upcoming opponents. Their recent form has been mixed, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five outings. They finally returned to winning ways with a 2-1 victory over FC Eindhoven on February 12, 2026, a result that boosted morale after a difficult run.
Across the season, Den Bosch have registered 11 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Away from home, however, they have found it hard to impose themselves, losing at half time in each of their last five away matches. Still, their games tend to be lively, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in 27 of their last 30 fixtures. Corners are also a common feature, as more than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 18 away matches.
Den Bosch’s attacking approach often leaves them exposed defensively, but their ability to find the net keeps them competitive in most encounters.
The previous meeting between these sides ended 2-3 in favor of FC Den Bosch on September 26, 2025. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with Jong AZ winning once, drawing three times, and losing once. The average scoreline across those matches stands at 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded for Jong AZ, suggesting that Den Bosch have had a slight edge in recent years.
Both teams come into this fixture with attacking momentum but defensive vulnerabilities. Jong AZ’s home struggles contrast with Den Bosch’s away inconsistencies, making this a potentially even contest. Given that both sides have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, another open and entertaining game is expected. The likelihood of goals in both halves is high, especially considering that both teams have scored in the second half in several of their recent outings.
With Jong AZ’s tendency to start slowly and Den Bosch’s habit of conceding before the break, the first half could again prove decisive. However, the hosts’ attacking rhythm and the visitors’ counter-attacking potential make a draw a realistic outcome.
According to the latest probabilities, the win chances stand at Jong AZ 44%, Draw 22%, and FC Den Bosch 34%. The data also indicates a 64% probability for Both Teams To Score (Yes) and a 65% chance of Over 2.5 goals. These figures align with the attacking trends of both sides and the defensive fragility they have shown throughout the season.
Jong AZ vs FC Den Bosch prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
FC Den Bosch
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
6
4