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Prediction published on Feb 7, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 7, 2026 9:04 PM
The upcoming Keuken Kampioen Divisie fixture between Jong AZ and FC Dordrecht promises an intriguing Monday night clash. The match will take place at the AFAS Trainingscomplex, where the home side will look to improve their position near the bottom of the table. Earlier this season, the two teams shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw, and both now aim to take a decisive step forward as the season enters a crucial phase. With Jong AZ sitting in the lower reaches of the standings and FC Dordrecht pushing for a playoff spot, this encounter could have significant implications for their respective campaigns.
Jong AZ currently occupy the 17th position in the Eerste Divisie, having collected 26 points from 25 matches. Their season has been inconsistent, but recent performances have shown flashes of attacking potential. In their last five outings, they recorded two victories and three defeats, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Notably, they achieved an impressive 1-4 away win against ADO Den Haag on January 30, 2026, showcasing their ability to strike effectively on the counter.
Despite their attacking output, defensive issues continue to plague the side. Jong AZ have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 league matches and have not managed a draw in their last 16. Their home form has also been concerning, as they have trailed at half time in their last five home fixtures. However, their matches tend to be entertaining, with over 0.5 goals scored before half time in the last 11 games and both teams finding the net in the second half of each of their last eight encounters.
While their defensive fragility remains a concern, Jong AZ’s attacking rhythm could make them a dangerous opponent, especially if they manage to start strongly at home.
FC Dordrecht have been one of the more unpredictable sides in the Eerste Divisie this season. They currently sit in 9th place with 34 points from 25 matches, keeping them within touching distance of the promotion playoff zone. Their recent form has been encouraging, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five games. During this run, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, underlining a balanced approach between attack and defense.
Their most recent outing was a convincing 3-0 home victory over Helmond Sport on February 3, 2026, which extended their unbeaten streak to three matches. Prior to that, they secured valuable wins against Vitesse (1-2) and FC Den Bosch (3-2). This sequence of results has boosted confidence within the squad, and they will travel to Alkmaar aiming to continue their momentum. Dordrecht’s matches have been consistently open, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 10 league fixtures.
With their current form and attacking efficiency, FC Dordrecht appear well-positioned to challenge for another positive result, especially against a Jong AZ side that has struggled defensively.
The head-to-head record slightly favors Jong AZ, who remain unbeaten in their last five meetings with FC Dordrecht (2 wins, 3 draws). However, the current momentum seems to be on the visitors’ side. Jong AZ’s matches have been high-scoring affairs, often featuring goals at both ends, while Dordrecht’s recent consistency suggests they could exploit the defensive gaps of their opponents.
Given the attacking trends of both teams, this fixture is likely to produce goals. Jong AZ’s inability to keep clean sheets and Dordrecht’s recent scoring form point toward an open contest. The home side will rely on their offensive flair to stay competitive, but Dordrecht’s balance and confidence could give them the edge.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Jong AZ 41%, Draw 24%, and FC Dordrecht 35%. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of Both Teams To Score (Yes) and a 61% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals. These figures align with the recent patterns observed in both teams’ performances.
BetMines Prediction: The analysis leans towards Over 2.5 goals with a 61% probability. Both sides have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making a high-scoring encounter the most plausible outcome.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
FC Dordrecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1