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Prediction published on Nov 1, 2025 8:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 1, 2025 10:07 PM
In the lower half of the Keuken Kampioen Divisie, Jong AZ and FC Eindhoven face each other on Monday, November 3, in a clash between two sides desperate to climb away from the relegation zone. Both teams have endured a difficult start to the 2025/26 campaign, but while the hosts seem to have found some rhythm lately, the visitors continue to struggle for form and confidence. This encounter at the AFAS Training Complex could therefore prove crucial for both clubs as they look to turn their seasons around.
Jong AZ currently sit 15th in the Eerste Divisie table with 14 points from 13 matches and a goal difference of -3. The young Alkmaar side have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, winning their last two league games — a convincing 4-0 victory over Willem II followed by an impressive 1-3 away win at Almere City. These results have lifted morale after a tough run that included defeats to Helmond Sport (4-2) and ADO Den Haag (0-4), as well as a goalless draw against Jong FC Utrecht.
Across their last five fixtures, Jong AZ have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, they have registered 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.9. These numbers highlight a team that can be dangerous going forward but still vulnerable defensively. Nevertheless, their recent upturn in results suggests that confidence is returning to the squad, and playing at home could further boost their chances of extending their winning streak.
Things look far less promising for FC Eindhoven, who occupy 18th place in the standings with just 11 points from 13 matches. After a promising start to the season, the team led by Maurice Verberne has completely lost momentum. The visitors are winless in their last five matches in all competitions, suffering four consecutive league defeats before a 2-2 draw against HSV Hoek in the KNVB Cup — a result that still saw them eliminated on penalties.
In their last five outings, Eindhoven have averaged only 0.6 goals scored while conceding 3.2 per game, underlining their defensive fragility and lack of cutting edge up front. Their overall record this season stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. The team’s away form has been particularly concerning, having trailed at half-time in each of their last four away games. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of 33 of their last 36 matches, showing a tendency for their games to open up after the break — often to their detriment.
FC Eindhoven’s defensive issues have been compounded by a lack of confidence and cohesion. The heavy defeats to VVV-Venlo (0-1), Vitesse (0-4), FC Emmen (6-0), and MVV Maastricht (3-1) have left the squad low on morale. The team will need a significant improvement in both organization and mentality if they are to avoid another setback in Alkmaar.
When these two sides met last season, the fixture produced plenty of goals, including a 2-4 result in May 2025. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat for Jong AZ, and an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game between them. This suggests that encounters between these teams often feature open play and attacking intent.
Given the current form, Jong AZ appear to be in a much stronger position. Their recent victories have restored belief, and their young attacking players are starting to find consistency in front of goal. The home side’s ability to score multiple goals in consecutive matches could prove decisive against an Eindhoven defense that has been leaking goals at an alarming rate. On the other hand, FC Eindhoven will likely focus on damage control, hoping to stay compact and hit on the counterattack, but their recent performances suggest that even that approach might not be enough to contain the hosts.
With both teams struggling defensively, this match could also see plenty of goalmouth action. The statistical trends point toward a high probability of goals, especially in the second half, where both sides have been involved in open and unpredictable contests. However, the momentum and confidence clearly favor Jong AZ, who will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage and extend their winning run to three matches.
The most likely outcome is a Jong AZ win (1) with a 46% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while an FC Eindhoven win (2) stands at 30%. Given the attacking trends of both teams, an open game with goals is also expected, but the hosts’ superior form makes them the favorites to claim all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
10
0