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Jong AZ
2 - 1
FT
Jong FC Utrecht
Prediction published on Aug 29, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Aug 29, 2026 6:05 PM
Jong AZ host Jong FC Utrecht on Monday, August 31, in the fifth round of the 2026/27 Eerste Divisie season. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time at the AFAS Trainingscomplex in Wijdewormer. Both teams return to action shortly after playing on August 28, but neither arrives in a positive position. Jong AZ have collected three points from four league matches, while Jong FC Utrecht remain without a point after four consecutive defeats. With both sides also conceding an average of at least two goals per game, this fixture brings together two teams searching for greater defensive stability and a much-needed positive result.
Jong AZ are 14th in the Eerste Divisie after recording one victory and three defeats. Their campaign began with a 1-0 home loss against FC Eindhoven, but they responded impressively by beating De Graafschap 5-2 away. That remains their only league success of the season, as it was followed by a 3-1 defeat against FC Emmen and a 2-1 home loss to MVV Maastricht on August 28.
The home side are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per league match. Across their latest five fixtures, their record stands at two wins and three defeats, with averages of 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 allowed. Those figures underline their ability to produce goals while also showing why consistent results have been difficult to secure.
Decisive outcomes have become a recurring theme in Jong AZ matches. They have avoided a draw in 31 of their last 33 Eerste Divisie games, as well as in 31 of their last 33 fixtures across all competitions. Their league matches also regularly move beyond a minimal scoreline, with over 1.5 total goals in 24 of the last 25.
The frequency of early and late goals is especially notable. Jong AZ have repeatedly been involved in matches featuring a goal before the interval, while their second halves have also tended to produce scoring. Both teams found the net after half-time in 15 of their last 25 matches, adding another attacking pattern to consider before this meeting.
Jong FC Utrecht enter the match in 20th place and are the only team in the competition yet to collect a point. Their season started with a 2-1 defeat away to MVV Maastricht, followed by a 3-1 loss against Vitesse. They then suffered a 6-1 defeat to Heracles Almelo before losing 2-1 at TOP Oss on August 28.
The visitors have therefore lost all four of their Eerste Divisie games, scoring once in each fixture and conceding 13 goals in total. Their seasonal averages stand at 1.0 goal scored and 3.3 conceded per match. Over their latest five fixtures, they have no wins or draws, with an average of one goal scored and 3.6 conceded.
Although results have been poor, Jong FC Utrecht have still managed to score in each of their four league matches. Their defensive record has been the larger problem, with every game ending in defeat and each of the latest three producing at least four total goals. Their established Eerste Divisie trends also point toward matches containing activity in both halves.
Jong FC Utrecht's challenge is clear: they need to improve a defensive return that has left them conceding more than three goals per league game. At the same time, scoring in every league appearance gives them a potential route into the contest, particularly against a Jong AZ side that has also conceded in each of its four matches.
The available numbers indicate that goals could play a central role in this Eerste Divisie match preview. The four Jong AZ league games have produced 14 goals, while Jong FC Utrecht's four fixtures have contained 17. Combined, the teams have scored 11 times and conceded 21 goals across their opening eight league appearances.
Jong AZ hold the stronger win profile, with a 50% home-win probability compared with 27% for Jong FC Utrecht and 23% for the draw. They also lead the supplied head-to-head summary with three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in those meetings. However, the latest encounter ended in a 4-1 result on December 12, 2025, showing that the most recent meeting did not follow the broader head-to-head balance.
From a goals perspective, the data gives over 2.5 goals a 63% probability, while both teams to score is rated at 61%. That outlook is consistent with the current-season records: Jong AZ have conceded an average of two goals per match, Jong FC Utrecht have allowed 3.3, and both have found the net regularly despite their defeats. The first-half and second-half trends further support the possibility of scoring across different stages of the game.
Jong AZ have the opportunity to recover from consecutive league defeats against the only side still without a point. Jong FC Utrecht, meanwhile, will aim to turn their consistent scoring into a first positive result, but their run of five straight defeats and high concession rate create a significant obstacle. With neither team having drawn this season and Jong AZ rarely sharing the points over a much longer sequence, another decisive, goal-filled contest appears plausible.
Jong AZ vs Jong FC Utrecht prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
Jong FC Utrecht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
4
6
7
3
4.5
5
5
8
2