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Prediction published on Apr 11, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Apr 11, 2026 6:03 PM
The upcoming round of the Eerste Divisie will feature an intriguing clash between two reserve sides, as Jong AZ host Jong PSV. Both teams have experienced contrasting seasons, with the home side looking to end their campaign on a positive note, while the visitors aim to recover from a recent dip in form. This encounter promises to deliver attacking football, given the offensive tendencies of both squads and their recent goal-scoring patterns.
Jong AZ currently sit 16th in the Eerste Divisie standings, having collected 37 points from 35 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, alternating between strong attacking displays and defensive lapses. In their last five games, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Their most recent setback came in a heavy 5-0 loss against De Graafschap on April 6, 2026, a result that highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities.
Across the season, Jong AZ’s record stands at 11 wins, 4 draws, and 20 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining, as shown by the fact that Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 18 league fixtures. Furthermore, Over 0.5 goals at half time have been recorded in 20 of their last 21 matches, underlining their tendency to start games at a high tempo.
However, their defensive issues often surface early: Jong AZ have lost at half time in 8 of their last 10 home matches. Despite this, they remain a dangerous side going forward, especially when playing at home, where they tend to create numerous chances. Their attacking approach frequently leads to high corner counts, with Over 7.5 corners taken in each of their last 19 Eerste Divisie games.
Jong PSV enter this fixture in 8th place, with 53 points from 35 matches. After a strong start to the season, their recent form has dipped significantly. They managed to end a four-game losing streak with a narrow 1-0 victory over VVV-Venlo on April 6, 2026. Before that, they suffered consecutive defeats to FC Eindhoven (1-2), FC Den Bosch (1-0), Vitesse (0-2), and Willem II (1-0), scoring just once in that stretch.
Over their last five matches, Jong PSV have registered one win and four losses, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their season totals stand at 16 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Like their opponents, they tend to feature in lively first halves, with Over 0.5 goals at half time recorded in each of their last 10 away fixtures.
Despite their recent struggles, Jong PSV remain a technically capable side that can cause problems for any opponent when their attack clicks. Their challenge will be to rediscover the balance between defense and offense that characterized their early-season performances.
The recent meetings between Jong AZ and Jong PSV have been evenly matched. In their last five encounters, both teams have won twice, with one draw, and the average scoreline has been 1.8 goals for Jong AZ and 1.4 for Jong PSV. The most recent clash ended 1-0 on August 29, 2025, showing that these fixtures can be tight despite both sides’ attacking profiles.
Given the statistical trends, this match is likely to feature goals at both ends. Jong AZ’s home games often produce early goals, while Jong PSV’s away fixtures also tend to open up quickly. The fact that both teams scored in the second half in 12 of Jong AZ’s last 18 matches further supports the expectation of an open contest. With both sides eager to finish their campaigns strongly, the match could develop into a fast-paced battle dominated by offensive transitions.
According to the data, Jong AZ hold a slight advantage with a 55% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 20% and a Jong PSV win at 25%. The goal markets also suggest a high-scoring affair, with Over 2.5 goals estimated at 72% probability and Both Teams To Score – Yes at 66%. These figures align with both teams’ recent performances and defensive records.
Jong AZ’s attacking consistency and home advantage could prove decisive, especially if they manage to capitalize on Jong PSV’s recent defensive instability. However, the visitors’ ability to respond after setbacks means they cannot be underestimated. Expect a match full of energy, with both sides pushing forward and creating numerous opportunities.
Jong AZ vs Jong PSV prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
Jong PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1