The final round of the Eerste Divisie brings an intriguing clash between Jong AZ and Roda JC Kerkrade. For the visitors, the season will continue in the promotion play-offs, while the home side will be looking to end their campaign on a positive note after a difficult run of results. With both teams having contrasting motivations, this encounter promises to deliver an open and entertaining match in Alkmaar.

Jong AZ’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Jong AZ have endured a tough period in recent weeks, suffering three consecutive defeats, including a 3-0 loss against Willem II on April 17, 2026. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 11 wins, 4 draws and 22 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match in the Eerste Divisie.

The team’s defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, particularly at home, where they have lost at half time in 9 of their last 11 matches. However, their games tend to be lively: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 20 league fixtures, and over 0.5 goals have been recorded before the break in their last 10 matches. Corners are also frequent in their games, with over 7.5 corners taken in the last 21 league outings. Despite their low position in the table (19th), Jong AZ often manage to create chances and have been involved in several high-scoring contests.

• Ranking: 19th in Eerste Divisie


• Season record: 11W – 4D – 22L


• Average goals scored: 1.6 | Average conceded: 2.1


• Over 1.5 goals in last 20 matches


• Over 7.5 corners in last 21 matches


• No draws in 26 of their last 28 league games

Roda JC Kerkrade’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roda JC Kerkrade approach this fixture in solid form and with their place in the promotion play-offs already secured. They currently sit 8th in the Eerste Divisie with 55 points from 37 matches. In their last outing, they drew 2-2 against FC Emmen on April 17, 2026. Over their last five games, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per match.

The Limburg side have shown consistency, losing only once in their last five fixtures — a narrow 0-1 defeat to Willem II. Victories over FC Eindhoven (1-3) and FC Dordrecht (0-3) underline their attacking potential, while draws against Helmond Sport (1-1) and FC Emmen (2-2) demonstrate their resilience. Their matches are often dynamic, with over 0.5 goals scored in the first half in 18 of their last 20 games, and over 7.5 corners in 19 of their last 20 league appearances.

• Ranking: 8th in Eerste Divisie


• Season record: 14W – 13D – 10L


• Average goals scored: 1.6 | Average conceded: 1.4


• Over 0.5 goals at half time in 18 of last 20 matches


• Over 7.5 corners in 19 of last 20 matches


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 2D – 1L

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The previous meeting between these sides ended in a 2-3 victory for Roda JC Kerkrade on December 5, 2025, in a match that reflected the attacking nature of both teams. Historically, Jong AZ have a slight edge in the head-to-head record with three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per encounter. Given these numbers, another high-scoring contest seems likely.

Both teams tend to play open football, with Jong AZ often relying on youthful energy and offensive transitions, while Roda JC Kerkrade combine solid organization with quick attacking movements. Considering the visitors’ superior form and motivation heading into the play-offs, they are expected to control the rhythm of the game. However, Jong AZ’s home matches frequently produce goals, so defensive concentration will be key for the visitors.

Jong AZ vs Roda JC Kerkrade Prediction

All indicators point toward an entertaining match with plenty of goal opportunities. Jong AZ have struggled defensively but remain capable of scoring, while Roda JC Kerkrade have shown consistency and attacking efficiency in recent weeks. The statistical trends — including a 68% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 66% for Both Teams To Score — reinforce the expectation of an open game.

Given the current form and the data available, the most likely scenario is a Roda JC Kerkrade win (2), supported by their stronger record and momentum heading into the play-offs. Nevertheless, goals at both ends appear highly probable, making this fixture one to watch for neutral fans and bettors alike.

Jong AZ vs Roda JC Kerkrade prediction by BetMines:
Roda JC Kerkrade win (2) with 42% probability.