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Prediction published on Nov 5, 2025 8:08 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 5, 2025 10:05 PM
On Friday, November 7, Jong AZ welcome VVV-Venlo to the AFAS Training Complex for another exciting round of the Eerste Divisie. The young Alkmaar side are looking to bounce back after a recent setback, while the visitors aim to regain consistency following a mixed run of results. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this fixture promises to deliver plenty of action and goals.
Jong AZ currently sit 16th in the Eerste Divisie table with 14 points from 14 matches. Their record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.9. Despite their position, the young side have shown flashes of quality in recent weeks. They recorded a convincing 4-0 victory over Willem II and followed it up with a 1-3 win at Almere City before falling 0-2 to FC Eindhoven earlier this week.
Under coach Leeroy Echteld, Jong AZ have been particularly entertaining at home. In 18 of their last 20 home matches, there has been at least one goal scored in the second half, highlighting their attacking persistence and tendency to keep pushing until the final whistle. However, defensive lapses remain a concern, as they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Their recent form reads 2 wins and 3 defeats, showing both promise and inconsistency.
Historically, Jong AZ have enjoyed this fixture. In their last five meetings with VVV-Venlo, they remain unbeaten with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game and conceding just 1.2. Their most recent encounter ended in a 3-0 victory in February 2025, a result they will hope to replicate on home soil.
VVV-Venlo arrive in Alkmaar sitting 11th in the standings with 18 points from 14 matches. The Venlo side have won 6 games and lost 8, making them the only team in the division yet to record a draw this season. Their campaign has been characterized by unpredictability — capable of strong performances but also prone to sudden dips in form.
In their last three matches, Peter Uneken’s men have suffered two defeats and one win: a 1-2 loss to Vitesse, a 0-3 defeat to Heerenveen, and a 0-1 away victory at FC Eindhoven. Over their last five games, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, reflecting a balanced but inconsistent side. Interestingly, VVV-Venlo have not drawn any of their last 18 matches in all competitions, a streak that underlines their all-or-nothing approach.
VVV’s matches tend to be open and lively. In 19 of their last 21 games, there has been at least one goal scored in the second half, while both teams have scored in the second half in 12 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie fixtures. They also tend to feature plenty of set-piece action, with over 8.5 corners taken in 32 of their last 35 league matches. These trends suggest that the visitors rarely play dull encounters and often contribute to high-scoring contests.
This clash between two attack-minded sides has all the ingredients for an entertaining evening in Alkmaar. Jong AZ have been prolific at home, scoring freely but also leaving gaps at the back, while VVV-Venlo’s direct style and willingness to commit players forward often lead to open matches. Both teams have shown a clear pattern of second-half goals, which could once again be decisive in this encounter.
Given the recent trends, a goal-filled match appears likely. Four of Jong AZ’s last five games have produced over 2.5 goals, and the same has occurred in three of VVV-Venlo’s last five. The hosts’ youthful energy and attacking flair, combined with the visitors’ aggressive approach, point toward another high-scoring affair. While Jong AZ may hold a slight psychological edge due to their strong head-to-head record, VVV-Venlo’s unpredictability ensures that nothing can be taken for granted.
Expect an open contest with both sides creating chances, especially after the break. The key battle will likely be between Jong AZ’s quick transitions and VVV’s ability to capitalize on defensive errors. With both teams averaging more than a goal per game and conceding at similar rates, the balance tilts toward an offensive spectacle rather than a tactical stalemate.
Jong AZ vs VVV-Venlo prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong AZ
VVV-Venlo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1