Tools
Jong PSV
4 - 0
FT
Helmond Sport
Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 9:04 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Jong PSV and Helmond Sport promises to be an intriguing encounter. Scheduled for Monday, January 26, this fixture marks the 23rd round of the season, with both sides eager to improve their recent form. The two teams are separated by ten places in the standings, yet their current momentum suggests a much closer contest than the table might indicate.
Jong PSV currently sit 7th in the Eerste Divisie, having collected a solid number of points through a campaign marked by attacking flair and defensive inconsistency. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Despite their offensive strength, the team’s backline has struggled to maintain clean sheets, conceding in each of their last 15 league games.
In their last five outings, Jong PSV have shown mixed results — 2 wins and 3 defeats — including a high-scoring 5-3 loss against Jong FC Utrecht on January 19. Their matches are rarely dull: Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 league fixtures, while Over 1.5 goals have featured in the last 16. The Eindhoven-based side also tend to start strong, having led at half time in 14 of their last 23 matches and in their last four home games.
These numbers highlight a team that thrives in attack but remains vulnerable defensively. Their ability to find the net consistently makes them a dangerous opponent, yet their tendency to concede keeps every match open until the final whistle.
Helmond Sport approach this fixture from 17th place in the table, with a record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats. Their average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match reflects a side that competes well but often falls short in key moments. The team’s recent form has been less than ideal — no wins in their last five matches — though they have shown resilience with three draws during that run.
Their most recent result, a 2-2 draw against Vitesse on January 16, demonstrated both their fighting spirit and defensive fragility. In the same period, they also suffered defeats to MVV Maastricht (2-4) and FC Emmen (4-1). Despite these setbacks, Helmond Sport’s attack has remained productive, averaging 1.4 goals per game across their last five fixtures.
Historically, Helmond Sport have struggled against Jong PSV, with a head-to-head record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five meetings. Their last encounter ended in a narrow 3-2 victory for Jong PSV on November 8, 2025, suggesting another goal-filled contest could be on the cards.
Both teams enter this match with contrasting ambitions but similar challenges. Jong PSV will look to capitalize on their home advantage and attacking rhythm, while Helmond Sport aim to end their winless streak and climb away from the lower half of the table. Given the attacking tendencies of both sides, this fixture has all the ingredients for an entertaining, high-scoring affair.
Statistically, the trends point toward goals. Jong PSV’s matches have consistently produced action at both ends, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in 26 of their last 28 games and Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 37 of their last 40. Helmond Sport’s recent results also suggest open play, with both teams scoring in four of their last five fixtures.
While Jong PSV’s offensive power gives them a slight edge, their defensive lapses could allow Helmond Sport to stay competitive. The visitors’ ability to find the net, even in defeat, makes them a threat, particularly if they can exploit spaces left by the home side’s adventurous approach.
Considering the data and recent performances, this Eerste Divisie matchup is expected to deliver goals and drama. Both teams have shown a consistent pattern of high-scoring games, and their defensive vulnerabilities make a clean sheet unlikely for either side. The balance of probabilities suggests that neither team will dominate completely, making a draw a realistic outcome.
BetMines prediction: Draw (X) with a probability of 22%. The attacking nature of both sides also supports the likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes and Over 2.5 goals as complementary betting options.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong PSV
Helmond Sport
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
8
2
7
3
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1