Tools
Jong PSV
1 - 1
FT
Jong Ajax
Prediction published on Aug 29, 2026 6:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Aug 29, 2026 6:03 PM
Jong PSV welcome Jong Ajax to Sportcomplex De Herdgang in Eindhoven on Monday, August 31, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. This Eerste Divisie meeting brings together two reserve sides whose opening results have featured both attacking promise and defensive vulnerability. Jong PSV have made the stronger start, collecting two wins, one draw and one defeat, while Jong Ajax have lost three of their first four league fixtures. However, the visitors can take confidence from an unbeaten run across the last five head-to-head encounters. With both teams averaging plenty of goals and Jong Ajax regularly involved in open matches, this fixture has the ingredients for an entertaining contest.
Jong PSV sit eighth in the Eerste Divisie after recording two victories, one draw and one loss. Their season began with a 3-2 win against FC Volendam, followed by a 3-1 defeat to Almere City FC. They responded by beating TOP Oss 1-0 before drawing 2-2 with RKC Waalwijk on August 28.
Those results underline the inconsistency of the home side, but they also show that Jong PSV can recover quickly from setbacks. Across their last five matches, they have registered two wins, one draw and two defeats. During that sequence, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their league averages are slightly more balanced, standing at 1.8 goals for and 1.8 against.
The defensive numbers suggest Jong PSV have not always controlled matches, yet their scoring rate gives them a route into most contests. Three of the four season results listed featured at least three total goals, including the 3-2 victory over FC Volendam and the latest 2-2 draw with RKC Waalwijk. Their 1-0 success against TOP Oss was the only low-scoring exception among those games.
Jong PSV also possess a notable first-half record at home. They have avoided going into the interval behind in 18 of their last 20 home matches, with the same sequence applying specifically to Eerste Divisie fixtures. That trend could be important against an opponent that has frequently struggled during the opening half of away games.
Jong Ajax arrive in Eindhoven in 15th place, having taken one victory from four league games. Their campaign started with three consecutive defeats: 2-1 against FC Dordrecht, 6-4 against FC Emmen and 3-2 against NAC Breda. They finally earned their first win on August 28, overcoming Helmond Sport 3-2.
The victory may provide encouragement, particularly because Jong Ajax once again demonstrated their ability to score. Their season average of 2.5 goals per match is strong, but it has been outweighed by an average of 3.3 goals conceded. Over their last five fixtures, the visitors have one win and four defeats, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 3.2 per game on average.
Jong Ajax have therefore been involved in several high-scoring contests. Each of their first four league results contained at least three goals, while three produced five or more. Although they have found the net regularly, their defensive record has made it difficult to turn that attacking output into points.
Second-half action has also been a recurring feature of their league matches. At least one goal after the interval occurred in 25 of Jong Ajax’s last 27 Eerste Divisie games. The away trend is similarly pronounced, with a second-half goal recorded in 18 of their last 20 league trips. In addition, Jong Ajax have been behind at half-time in 11 of their last 17 away matches.
Draws have been uncommon for the visitors. Jong Ajax have not drawn in 25 of their last 27 matches, including the same record across their last 27 Eerste Divisie fixtures. Their recent pattern has consequently been decisive, even though this particular opponent has held them to two draws within the last five head-to-head meetings.
The recent form gives Jong PSV an advantage. The hosts have won two of their opening four league games and carry a 55% win probability, compared with 24% for Jong Ajax and 21% for the draw. Jong Ajax’s run of four defeats in their last five matches, combined with their high concession rate, makes the home side’s attacking prospects especially relevant.
However, the head-to-head record offers a warning for Jong PSV. They are winless across the last five meetings with Jong Ajax, drawing twice and losing three times. In that sequence, Jong PSV averaged only 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-0 Jong Ajax victory on April 17, 2026, so the visitors have clear evidence that they can compete effectively in this fixture despite their weaker current form.
The main statistical theme is the potential for goals. Both teams have scored in three of Jong PSV’s four listed league matches and in all four of Jong Ajax’s opening games. Jong PSV’s recent scoring and concession averages combine for 4.0 goals per fixture, while Jong Ajax’s corresponding last-five figures combine for 5.2. The supplied probabilities reflect that profile, rating over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 65%.
Jong PSV’s strong record of avoiding a half-time deficit at home contrasts sharply with Jong Ajax being behind at the break in 11 of their previous 17 away fixtures. Nevertheless, the visitors’ frequent second-half goals indicate that the contest may remain active after the interval. Jong Ajax have enough attacking output to threaten, but their average of 3.3 goals conceded this season leaves Jong PSV well placed to create opportunities of their own.
Overall, the home side enter with the better league record, whereas Jong Ajax hold the stronger recent head-to-head history. That contrast makes the result less straightforward than the standings alone suggest. The clearest shared pattern is an abundance of goals in the teams’ opening fixtures, supported by strong recent scoring averages and persistent defensive problems.
Jong PSV vs Jong Ajax prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong PSV
Jong Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
6
4