Jong PSV host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie on Monday, September 14, 2026. The match is scheduled to begin at 18:00 local time at Sportcomplex De Herdgang in Eindhoven. Both reserve teams played on Friday and enter this additional league fixture after suffering away defeats. Jong PSV lost 3-1 to Helmond Sport, while Jong AZ were beaten 3-2 by Heracles Almelo. The hosts begin the contest in sixth place, three positions above ninth-placed Jong AZ, but the recent scoring records suggest that the match could be open and eventful. Jong PSV have combined steady results with a balanced return in attack and defence, whereas Jong AZ have produced considerably higher averages at both ends of the pitch. With the visitors rarely drawing and repeatedly featuring in games with at least three goals, this Eerste Divisie meeting offers plenty of statistical interest.

Jong PSV Recent Form and Key Statistics

Jong PSV return home looking to respond to their 3-1 loss against Helmond Sport on September 11. That result ended a sequence in which they had avoided defeat in four of five matches. Across their latest five games, the Eindhoven side have registered two wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.4 per match.

Their recent results include victories over TOP Oss and FC Den Bosch. Jong PSV defeated TOP Oss 1-0 before recording a 3-1 win against FC Den Bosch. They also drew 2-2 with RKC Waalwijk and 1-1 with Jong Ajax. Those scores show that the hosts can compete in different types of contests: they have won a match by keeping a clean sheet, produced three goals in another victory and collected points from two games in which both teams scored.

For the Eerste Divisie season as a whole, Jong PSV have a record of three wins, two draws and two losses. Their averages stand at 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per league match, leaving their attacking and defensive output perfectly level. Home form also gives them a positive reference point, as they have won three of their previous four matches on their own ground.

The timing trends are particularly relevant. At least one second-half goal has been recorded in 19 of Jong PSV's last 21 home league matches. The same pattern also applies to 19 of their latest 21 home games across the supplied overall data. That consistency indicates that the contest may continue to develop after the interval, even if the opening stages are more measured.

Jong AZ Recent Form and Key Statistics

Jong AZ arrive after a narrow 3-2 defeat away to Heracles Almelo on September 11. Before that loss, they had beaten FC Dordrecht 6-3 and Jong FC Utrecht 2-1. Their other listed results were defeats against MVV Maastricht, by a 2-1 score, and FC Emmen, by 3-1. Consequently, their last five matches have delivered two victories and three defeats, with no draws.

Those five games underline Jong AZ's high-scoring profile. They have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded during that period. Their wider league figures are similarly expansive: three wins, no draws and four defeats, accompanied by averages of 2.4 goals for and 2.1 goals against. Although their results have been inconsistent, their matches have regularly produced chances and goals at both ends.

The absence of draws is one of the clearest themes surrounding the visitors. Jong AZ have not drawn any of their last 18 away matches in the Eerste Divisie, while 34 of their previous 36 matches overall have also ended with a winner. The same 34-from-36 record applies specifically to their league fixtures. This sequence suggests that Jong AZ games tend to remain decisive rather than settle into stalemates.

• More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in 27 of Jong AZ's last 28 matches.
• More than 2.5 total goals have been recorded in 18 of their last 20 away matches.
• At least one first-half goal has featured in 28 of their previous 31 Eerste Divisie games.
• At least one second-half goal has been scored in their last 11 league matches and in 18 of their latest 20 away fixtures.
• More than 7.5 corners have been taken in 28 of their last 29 Eerste Divisie matches.

There is also evidence of late action at both ends. Both teams scored during the second half in nine of Jong AZ's last 15 away matches, including the same proportion within Eerste Divisie competition. Combined with their scoring and conceding averages, that trend makes the second half an important part of this preview.

Jong PSV vs Jong AZ Prediction and Match Analysis

The structured win probabilities give Jong PSV a 43% chance of victory, compared with 35% for Jong AZ and 22% for the draw. That distribution makes the hosts the narrow result-based favourites rather than dominant ones. Their league position, recent sequence of two wins and two draws from five matches, and record of three home victories in four games all support that slight advantage.

However, the goals markets provide the strongest statistical direction. The probability of both teams scoring is listed at 69%, while the probability of more than 2.5 goals is slightly higher at 70%. Jong AZ's last five fixtures all contained at least three total goals, including 6-3, 3-2 and 3-1 scorelines. Their season averages also produce a combined figure of 4.5 goals scored and conceded per match.

Jong PSV's numbers are less extreme but still compatible with an attacking contest. Their league games average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, and three of their five listed recent results saw both sides find the net. Their reliable second-half goal trend at home aligns closely with Jong AZ's repeated pattern of goals after the break.

The head-to-head information adds some balance. The latest meeting ended 2-0 to Jong AZ on April 13, 2026, but the supplied five-match summary gives Jong PSV three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The hosts therefore hold the stronger record across that sequence despite losing the most recent encounter. Even so, the broader evidence points more clearly towards total goals than towards either side winning, particularly because Jong AZ's away matches have exceeded 2.5 goals in 18 of the last 20.

Jong PSV vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 70% probability.