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Jong PSV
6:00 PM
August 24, 2026
TOP Oss
Prediction published on Aug 22, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Aug 22, 2026 6:05 PM
Jong PSV host TOP Oss on Monday, August 24, in one of the final fixtures of the third Eerste Divisie matchday. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 at Sportcomplex De Herdgang in Eindhoven. Both teams enter this contest after losing four of their last five matches, but their early league records and recent head-to-head results create a clear distinction. Jong PSV have already collected one victory this season, while TOP Oss are still looking for their first point after two defeats. The visitors have also failed to win any of the previous five meetings between the sides, making this a demanding away assignment.
Jong PSV opened their league campaign with an entertaining 3-2 victory over FC Volendam before suffering a 3-1 defeat against Almere City on August 14. Their other recent results include a 4-2 friendly loss against KRC Genk U23 and a 1-1 draw with Sunderland U21. Across their last five matches, Jong PSV have recorded one win and four defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 2.8 per game.
Their Eerste Divisie record after two matches stands at one win and one defeat. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in the competition, numbers that underline the possibility of another open contest. Jong PSV are currently ranked 13th in the Eerste Divisie and will be seeking an immediate response to the loss against Almere City.
Several longer-term trends also point away from a cautious match. Jong PSV have avoided a draw in 23 of their last 24 fixtures, with the same pattern applying to 23 of their previous 24 Eerste Divisie games. This suggests that their matches have usually produced a decisive outcome rather than ending level.
Second-half action has been particularly consistent in their recent record. At least one goal after the interval has been scored in each of Jong PSV's last 13 home league matches. The same outcome occurred in 19 of their previous 21 matches overall and in 19 of their last 21 Eerste Divisie fixtures. At the same time, Jong PSV have not been behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 home games, including 18 of their last 20 at home in the league.
TOP Oss arrive with two defeats from their opening two Eerste Divisie matches. They lost 2-1 against NAC Breda before being beaten 3-0 by FC Volendam on August 15. Their preparation also delivered mixed results: a 3-1 victory over Wattenscheid was followed by defeats against Almere City, by an 8-4 scoreline, and KRC Genk, by 3-1.
The visitors have won one and lost four of their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 3.4 conceded per game. Their league averages are less productive in attack but remain concerning defensively, with 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match. TOP Oss are ranked 20th and have yet to collect a point this season.
Recent match totals involving TOP Oss have been remarkably consistent. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 22 matches, as well as in their previous 21 Eerste Divisie fixtures. Their last 10 away league matches have also all produced at least two total goals. These figures refer to the combined score in those games and indicate that low-event contests have been uncommon.
There is also a strong pattern of goals after the break. At least one second-half goal has been scored in the last 18 league matches involving TOP Oss and in all of their previous 10 away fixtures in the Eerste Divisie. In addition, TOP Oss have been behind at half-time in six of their last 10 league games, an important detail when considered alongside Jong PSV's strong record of avoiding a half-time deficit at home.
Corner numbers provide another notable trend. More than 7.5 corners were taken in 26 of TOP Oss's last 27 matches and in 25 of their previous 26 league games. The higher line of 8.5 corners was surpassed in 25 of their last 27 fixtures and 24 of their previous 26 Eerste Divisie matches.
The recent head-to-head record favors Jong PSV. They are unbeaten across the last five meetings with TOP Oss, registering three victories and two draws. Over that sequence, Jong PSV averaged 2.4 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 Jong PSV victory on February 9, 2026.
The hosts therefore have both the superior early-season record and the stronger direct-meeting statistics. The listed win probabilities give Jong PSV a 51% chance of victory, compared with 22% for the draw and 27% for a TOP Oss win. The available decimal odds also place the home side at 1.65, with the draw at 4.10 and an away victory at 4.75.
However, goals are the most prominent theme surrounding this fixture. Jong PSV's league matches have featured averages of 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded by the team, while TOP Oss have allowed 2.5 per league game. Both sides have lost four of their last five matches, and their overall defensive averages during those runs stand at 2.8 conceded for Jong PSV and 3.4 for TOP Oss.
The forecast data assigns a 62% probability to both teams scoring and the same probability to a match with more than 2.5 goals. TOP Oss have produced at least two total goals in 22 consecutive matches, while both teams carry extensive second-half scoring trends. Taken together, the numbers support the expectation of a fixture with regular attacking incidents, particularly after the interval. Jong PSV's unbeaten five-match head-to-head sequence gives the hosts an advantage, but the clearest statistical direction concerns a total capable of moving beyond two goals.
Jong PSV vs TOP Oss prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Jong PSV
TOP Oss
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
6
4
1
9
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
7
3
7
3