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Juárez vs Necaxa Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga MX 15-02-2026

Juárez

1 - 2

FT

Necaxa

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
Oscar Mejia Garcia
broken clouds 14.58 °C

Prediction published on Feb 13, 2026 11:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Feb 13, 2026 11:02 AM

The sixth round of the Clausura 2026 in Liga MX brings an intriguing clash between FC Juárez and Necaxa at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez. Both sides are currently outside the qualification spots and will be eager to collect valuable points to climb the table. Juárez sit in 15th place, while Necaxa occupy 11th, and both teams have shown inconsistency in the early stages of the campaign. With both defences conceding regularly, this encounter promises to be open and competitive.


Juárez’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Juárez have endured a difficult start to the Clausura 2026, recording just one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 loss against Pachuca on February 8, following a narrow 4-3 defeat to Cruz Azul. The team’s only victory came on the opening day, a 2-1 away success against Mazatlán. Despite their struggles, Juárez have managed to score an average of 1.4 goals per match, though their defence has conceded two goals per game on average.


Across the season, Juárez’s record stands at 8 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Their home performances have been unpredictable but often entertaining, with Over 0.5 goals at half time recorded in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures. Interestingly, they have also won at half time in 7 of their last 10 home matches, showing that they often start games strongly. However, they have recently lost at half time in three consecutive league matches, a trend they will be keen to reverse in front of their fans.


Among the players to watch, Francisco Nevárez has been a bright spot for Juárez. The 25-year-old midfielder has started three of five matches this season and already found the net once, improving on his limited involvement from the previous campaign. His energy and ability to contribute offensively could be crucial as Juárez look to regain momentum.


Necaxa’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Necaxa arrive in Juárez after a morale-boosting 4-1 victory over Atlético San Luis on February 7, which ended a run of three straight defeats. That result lifted them to 11th place with six points, keeping them within touching distance of the top half of the table. Over their last five matches, Necaxa have recorded two wins and three losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their overall season record shows 6 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.


Defensively, Necaxa have struggled for stability, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Liga MX matches. Their away form also raises concerns: they have lost at half time in 8 of their last 11 away matches and have not kept a clean sheet on the road in 12 consecutive games. However, their attacking play has been lively, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 12 away fixtures, suggesting that their matches tend to be open and high-scoring.


Up front, Julián Carranza has been one of Necaxa’s standout performers. The 25-year-old Argentine forward has scored twice in four appearances, despite averaging just over 40 minutes per game. His efficiency in front of goal could make the difference in a match where both teams are expected to create chances.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


Historically, the meetings between Juárez and Necaxa have been closely contested. Their last encounter ended 1-1 on September 13, 2025, and in their last five head-to-heads, Juárez have yet to win, drawing four and losing one. The average scoreline in these fixtures has been 1.2 goals scored by Juárez and 1.8 conceded, underlining Necaxa’s slight historical edge.


Both teams tend to play open football, with defensive lapses often shaping the outcome. Juárez’s home matches frequently feature early goals, while Necaxa’s away games are rarely short of action. Given these trends, fans can expect a dynamic contest with opportunities at both ends. The key battle may lie in midfield, where Juárez will look to control possession and limit Necaxa’s counterattacks, while the visitors will rely on quick transitions and the finishing ability of Carranza.


BetMines Prediction and Final Analysis


Considering the current form and statistical trends, this fixture looks balanced but slightly tilted in favour of the home side. Juárez’s strong starts at home and Necaxa’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest that the hosts could have the upper hand if they maintain intensity throughout the match. Both teams have shown attacking intent, and the data points toward a high probability of goals on both sides.


Juárez vs Necaxa prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 61% probability.

Juárez vs Necaxa - Predictions

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Juárez vs Necaxa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Juárez

Necaxa

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Juárez and Necaxa in Liga MX

Apertura - Ranking

Team

8

Juárez

17

6

5

6

27:28

23

1.35

D
L
D
W
L
13

Necaxa

17

4

5

8

24:32

17

1

L
D
W
W
D
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs

Clausura - Ranking

Team

12

Juárez

17

5

4

8

26:32

19

1.12

D
L
L
L
W
15

Necaxa

17

5

3

9

19:25

18

1.06

W
L
D
D
L
Final Series

Who will win ?

Juárez vs Necaxa: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Juárez vs Necaxa be played?
The Liga MX match between Juárez and Necaxa will be played on February 15, 2026 at 01:06.
Where will Juárez vs Necaxa be played?
The match between Juárez and Necaxa will be played at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez - Mexico
Who will referee Juárez vs Necaxa?
The referee for the match will be Oscar Mejia Garcia.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Juárez vs Necaxa in the Liga MX?
The odds are: Juárez to win 2.10, draw 3.30, Necaxa to win 3.70.
What are the betting odds for Juárez vs Necaxa for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga MX?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.90 and Under 2.5 at 1.90.
Will both Juárez and Necaxa score in the Liga MX?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.70, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.05.
What is the most likely correct score for Juárez vs Necaxa in the Liga MX?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Juárez and Necaxa?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Juárez and Necaxa, Juárez won 0 times, Necaxa won 1, and 4 ended in a draw.

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