Predictions
Top Leagues
Mar 7, 2025
No doubts about the big match of Serie A Matchday 28. On Sunday evening, all football fans will have their eyes on the Allianz Stadium, where Juventus, the fourth-placed team in the league, hosts Atalanta, currently third with a slim three-point advantage. As their standings suggest, this match is crucial for Champions League qualification (also involving Lazio), but it could also have interesting implications in the Scudetto race. Juventus, after securing a win in their last league match against Hellas Verona, took advantage of the simultaneous draws by Atalanta, Napoli, and Inter, bringing themselves just six points behind the league leaders. On the other hand, Atalanta missed a golden opportunity last weekend to challenge Inter and overtake Napoli, only managing a 0-0 draw at home against Venezia, the second-bottom team in the standings. Gasperini's side, struggling with several injuries, especially in defense, cannot afford any more missteps. A potential defeat could undermine their progress, particularly with a resurgent Lazio playing an easier fixture against Udinese at the Stadio Olimpico on Monday night.
Juventus enters this big match riding a five-game winning streak in Serie A, during which they have scored 10 goals and conceded only 2. Even more impressively, the Bianconeri have kept three consecutive clean sheets, a key factor behind their strong form.
Thiago Motta's team remains undefeated at home this season, with seven wins and seven draws, amassing 28 of their 52 total points at the Allianz Stadium. Additionally, Juventus have won their last four home matches in Serie A, scoring nine goals and conceding just one.
Atalanta has been inconsistent, alternating between impressive performances and surprising setbacks, particularly in home games. They have drawn their last three home matches against Torino, Cagliari, and Venezia, with the last two ending in goalless stalemates.
However, playing away from home might be an advantage for La Dea, as they have been the best away team in Serie A, collecting 30 points from 14 away matches. Gasperini's side is on a three-game winning streak on the road, including back-to-back 5-0 victories against Verona and Empoli.
Thiago Motta is expected to field a nearly unchanged lineup from the one that defeated Hellas Verona. The only selection dilemma is between Koopmeiners and McKennie in the attacking midfield role behind Kolo Muani. If the Dutchman starts in attack, Khéphren Thuram will take his place in midfield, having scored twice in his last two appearances.
Atalanta faces a defensive crisis, with long-term absentees Scalvini and Kossounou now joined on the sidelines by Posch. However, the potential last-minute recovery of Hien could be a crucial boost, as Gasperini rarely leaves him out in big matches. Another doubt is Daniel Maldini, who is dealing with a back injury.
The last five head-to-head matches in Turin have resulted in four draws (both teams scoring in each) and one Atalanta victory in the 2021/22 season. Juventus' last home win against Atalanta dates back to March 14, 2018 (2-0).
Based on historical trends and Atalanta's strong away record, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta suggests a match in which both teams will score.
JUVENTUS (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio; Weah, Kalulu, Kelly, Cambiaso; Thuram, Locatelli; Nico Gonzalez, Koopmeiners, Yildiz; Kolo Muani. Coach: Thiago Motta.
ATALANTA (3-4-1-2): Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac; Bellanova, De Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta; Pasalic; Lookman, Retegui. Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Atalanta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2