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Prediction published on Nov 26, 2025 6:23 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 26, 2025 7:21 PM
Fresh from an important victory against Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League, Juventus returns to Serie A action hosting Cagliari in Matchday 13. The Bianconeri are looking for a win that has eluded them in the league since November 1, aiming to improve their current seventh place and get closer to fourth, which grants qualification to the Champions League, currently four points away. Cagliari, after a fairly positive start, has slowed down and has not won since mid-September, sitting 14th with only a three-point cushion above the relegation zone. Another defeat could further drag the team down the table, complicating the rest of the season. This promises to be a crucial match for both teams, needing points: Juventus to revive their European ambitions, Cagliari to secure survival.
Under the guidance of Luciano Spalletti, Juventus seems to have regained consistency, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions, with three wins and three draws. In their latest match, the Bianconeri won 3-2 away at Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League, bouncing back after a disappointing 1-1 draw at Fiorentina.
After twelve Serie A matchdays, the Old Lady sits in 7th place with 20 points, consisting of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per game and conceding 0.92. Across all competitions, a worrying statistic is the defense: Juventus has conceded at least one goal in seven of their last eight matches.
At home, however, the Bianconeri maintain a positive trend: unbeaten in their last ten Serie A home games and still undefeated at the Allianz Stadium this season across all competitions. In the league, they have collected 12 points from six home games (3 wins and 3 draws), averaging 1.67 goals scored per game and 0.83 conceded.
Cagliari are going through a difficult period, coming off eight consecutive matches without a win, with four losses and four draws. In their last league game on November 22, the Sardinians drew 3-3 at home against Genoa, achieving their second consecutive draw after a goalless draw against Como the previous weekend.
The recent winless run has naturally affected their league position: the Rossoblù currently sit 14th with 11 points, from 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 1 goal scored and 1.42 conceded per game. The three goals scored against Genoa in the last round may represent a turning point after the Sardinian attack had failed to score in the two previous matches against Lazio and Como.
Away from home, Fabio Pisacane's team has only won once this season, while earning three draws and two losses in the other four games, for a total of 6 points. Additionally, in six away matches so far, they have scored an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.16.
Despite Juventus not winning in the last two league rounds, the Bianconeri are clear favorites to return to victory against Cagliari, confirming their strong performance earlier in the week against the tough Bodø/Glimt.
The first tip from BetMines for this match is a 1 (home win), supported by Juventus’ excellent home record and historical head-to-head results: Cagliari’s last victory in Turin dates back to the 2008/09 season. In the last ten meetings in Turin, Juventus has collected eight wins and two draws, confirming the historical dominance of the hosts.
From a scoring perspective, a match with fewer than three total goals is expected: the Under 2.5 goals outcome is estimated with a 61% probability. This type of result occurred in four of Juventus’ last five home games and three of Cagliari’s last four away games.
The home team, without key defender Bremer, has still shown solidity at the Allianz Stadium, keeping a clean sheet in two of their last three home league matches. Cagliari, on the other hand, comes from two consecutive away games without scoring, making a No Goal match possible, where at least one of the two teams may fail to score.
JUVENTUS (3-5-2): Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Kelly, Koopmeiners; Cambiaso, Thuram, Locatelli, McKennie, Kostic; Vlahovic, Yildiz. Coach: Spalletti
CAGLIARI (3-5-2): Caprile; Zappa, Mina, Luperto; Palestra, Folorunsho, Prati, Deiola, Felici; Se. Esposito, Borrelli. Coach: Pisacane
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Cagliari
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
9
1
4
6
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1