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Prediction published on Mar 25, 2025 4:42 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Mar 25, 2025 6:35 PM
Thiago Motta paid the price for his last two heavy defeats against Atalanta and Fiorentina. Taking advantage of the international break, Juventus' management decided to relieve him of his duties, appointing a familiar face in Italian football and the Bianconeri environment: Igor Tudor. The Croatian coach, who previously managed Udinese, Verona, and Lazio, arrives with the clear goal of securing fourth place and a spot in next season's Champions League. To reclaim fourth place (Juventus' only remaining goal after being eliminated from both the Coppa Italia and Champions League), the first step is securing a victory in Matchday 30 against Genoa. The Rossoblù arrive at the Juventus Stadium fresh from an important relegation battle win against Lecce. Thanks to those three points, Patrick Vieira’s men now sit comfortably in mid-table, allowing the French coach to evaluate his squad for the upcoming season. As a result, this away match against Juventus could serve as an important test for several Genoa players still vying for Vieira’s trust. However, it seems that motivation will be the key factor, with Juventus having much more at stake in their desperate push for a top-four finish.
The last month has been one to forget for Juventus. Despite two Serie A victories against Cagliari and Verona, they have failed in all key moments, crashing out of the Champions League playoffs against Feyenoord and being eliminated in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals on penalties against Empoli.
The final straw came with back-to-back defeats to Atalanta and Fiorentina, where Juventus conceded a total of seven goals while failing to score. Tudor will be hoping to capitalize on home advantage, as Juventus had previously remained unbeaten in 14 consecutive home league matches (7 wins, 7 draws) before the recent heavy loss to Atalanta.
Juventus fans will be hoping that Tudor can have a similar impact on their team as Vieira has had on Genoa. Despite initial skepticism, the French coach has guided Genoa to 25 points in 17 games (6 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses), with an average of 1.47 points per match compared to 0.83 under the previous management.
However, Genoa’s away form remains a major concern. Their last away victory came on December 28, and they have picked up just 16 of their 35 total points on the road (4 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). More worryingly, Genoa are one of the lowest-scoring away teams in Serie A, with only 11 goals in away matches—an average of 0.78 goals per game.
There is a lot of curiosity surrounding Tudor’s first lineup choices, particularly regarding the formation and attacking selections. In defense, he is expected to switch to a three-man backline, with wing-backs dropping deeper in defensive phases. Weah and McKennie are likely candidates for these roles, as Cambiaso is still not at full fitness.
The biggest questions remain in attack, where Vlahovic—who was sidelined under Thiago Motta—seems poised for a comeback. If the Serbian striker starts, Kolo Muani could play alongside him in a 3-4-1-2 setup, or he might feature just behind Yildiz in a 3-4-2-1 formation.
For Genoa, Vieira will have to cope without the suspended Martin, a key player under his leadership. Vasquez is expected to move to left-back, while Matturro partners De Winter in central defense. Further forward, keep an eye on Fabio Miretti, a former Juventus player coming off a brace against Lecce.
In terms of predictions, Juventus can no longer afford excuses after Thiago Motta’s dismissal. Despite recent struggles, their squad quality remains superior to Genoa’s. Additionally, history favors the Bianconeri, as Genoa has not won in Turin since the 1990/91 season.
In a match where motivation is undoubtedly greater among the Bianconeri, the BetMines algorithm prediction for the Juventus vs Genoa match sees the hosts clearly favoured for victory (sign 1).
Juventus (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Gatti, Veiga; Weah, Thuram, Koopmeiners, McKennie; Kolo Muani, Yildiz; Vlahovic. Coach: Tudor
Genoa (4-2-3-1): Leali; Sabelli, De Winter, Matturro, Vasquez; Frendrup, Masini; Zanoli, Malinovskyi, Miretti; Pinamonti. Coach: Vieira
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Genoa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
9
1
6
4
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0