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Prediction published on Feb 28, 2025 5:51 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 28, 2025 5:51 PM
With their elimination from both the Champions League and Coppa Italia, Juventus must now focus entirely on Serie A, starting with the Monday night fixture of Matchday 27. At the Juventus Stadium, Thiago Motta's side hosts Hellas Verona, a team desperate for crucial points in their relegation battle, as they aim for what would be their fifth consecutive league victory. There is a lot of curiosity regarding the lineup that the former Bologna coach will field, especially after he openly criticized some of his players following the Coppa Italia exit against Empoli on penalties. Among those under scrutiny are the summer signings Koopmeiners and Nico Gonzalez, who have yet to meet expectations, as well as Dusan Vlahovic. The Serbian striker, who scored the winning goal in the last league victory against Cagliari, put in a lackluster performance against Empoli, even missing one of the decisive penalties. As a result, some tactical adjustments are expected, such as the possible return of Kolo Muani as the starting striker. Hellas Verona, whom Juventus defeated 3-0 in the reverse fixture, comes into this match after a 1-0 win over Fiorentina, thanks to a stoppage-time goal by new signing Bernede. This result ended a two-game losing streak against AC Milan and Atalanta. Despite their struggles, Verona could pose a tricky challenge for Juventus, given the Bianconeri’s tendency to drop points against lower-ranked teams, as seen in draws against Venezia, Parma, and Cagliari this season.
Despite setbacks against PSV and Empoli, Juventus remains in good form. In their last five Serie A matches, they have secured four wins and one loss, the only defeat of their league campaign so far.
Another positive factor is their solid defense, having kept clean sheets in their last two Serie A matches (vs Inter and Cagliari). Juventus boasts the best defensive record in the league alongside Inter, conceding only 21 goals in 26 matches, with just 10 of those at the Juventus Stadium.
Hellas Verona’s victory in Florence was their first away win since November 3rd. Coach Zanetti, who will be absent due to suspension, has seen his team perform better on the road, winning three of their last six away matches.
However, their biggest issue this season has been defensive fragility. Verona has the worst defense in Serie A, conceding 54 goals (an average of 2.07 per match). Away from home, they have scored 1.15 goals per game but conceded 1.84 per match.
Juventus has never lost at home to Hellas Verona in Serie A, and they come into this match highly motivated, looking to strengthen their hold on fourth place while hoping for a potential Lazio slip-up against Milan.
The superior technical quality of Juventus and their desire for redemption after the recent disappointments could prove decisive over 90 minutes.
Based on current form and statistical analysis, the BetMines algorithm predicts the following outcome probabilities for Juventus vs Hellas Verona.
JUVENTUS (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio; Weah, Gatti, Kelly, Cambiaso; Thuram, Locatelli; Conceicao, McKennie, Yildiz; Kolo Muani. Coach: Motta
HELLAS VERONA (3-4-2-1): Montipò; Dawidowicz, Coppola, Valentini, Tchatchoua; Niasse, Duda, Bradaric, Suslov; Livramento, Sarr. Coach: Zanetti
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Hellas Verona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
9
1
8
2
3.5
9
1
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0