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Prediction published on Oct 2, 2025 12:41 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Oct 4, 2025 10:39 AM
Matchday 6 of Serie A closes with one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season: the big match between Juventus and Milan, two teams historically used to fighting at the top of the table. After the first five rounds, the Rossoneri lead the standings with 12 points, one more than the Bianconeri. At the Allianz Stadium, the hosts are looking for a win that would not only allow them to overtake Milan in the table but also help redeem their recent disappointing draws in both Serie A and the Champions League. It won’t be an easy task: Milan are playing at high speed and have had the full week to prepare for the clash. Massimiliano Allegri, a former Juventus coach, aims to secure his second consecutive big win after the victory over Napoli, consolidating Milan’s top position before the international break and increasing the gap with Juventus. The match will also be interesting to observe the performance of some former players, such as Kalulu and Rabiot, as well as Dusan Vlahovic, who is called to lead the Juventus attack after being long sought by Milan under his former coach Massimiliano Allegri.
A complicated period for Juventus, coming off four consecutive draws in Serie A and the Champions League. The last two draws came against Atalanta (1-1) in the last league round and Villarreal (2-2) in Europe, following a disappointing draw with Hellas Verona.
The Bianconeri have collected 11 points so far, with 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. Tudor’s team is showing difficulties in managing results: they have been caught up twice in the last three matches (against Verona and Villarreal) and have conceded goals in five consecutive games across all competitions.
At home, Juventus maintain a positive record: they haven’t lost in 10 Serie A games at the Allianz Stadium. This season, their home record is 2 wins and 2 draws, with an average of 2.75 goals scored and 2 conceded per match. Their goal remained unbeaten only in the first round, a 2-0 victory over Parma.
Milan are among the most in-form teams in the league: after losing the opening match against Cremonese, the Rossoneri have won five consecutive matches in Serie A and Coppa Italia. The latest victory came on Sunday, September 28, with a 2-1 win over Napoli in the 5th round big match thanks to goals from Saelemaekers and Pulisic.
Massimiliano Allegri’s side lead the table with 12 points, the result of 4 wins and 1 loss, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. Compared to previous seasons, the Tuscan coach has given the team great defensive solidity, conceding only one goal in the last five matches. Up front, Pulisic is shining, scoring 4 goals in the last three appearances.
Their away form is also impressive: Milan won convincingly at Lecce (2-0) and Udinese (3-0), confirming a very positive trend away from San Siro. In the last seven away games, they have achieved 6 wins and only one loss, with an average of 2.43 goals scored and just 0.58 conceded per match.
The Juventus vs Milan clash, concluding Matchday 6 of Serie A, pits two teams built to fight for the Scudetto until the end. According to the BetMines algorithm, it promises to be a balanced match: a home win has a 38% probability, while an away win has a 36% probability.
The hosts started the season with two consecutive clean sheets but have conceded at least one goal in the last five matches. The risk of conceding again is high, especially considering the absence of Bremer, Tudor’s defensive leader.
Milan also arrive with some absences: on the left flank, Bartesaghi could make his starting debut, replacing the suspended Estupiñán. A tough challenge, as he will face Conceicao, one of Juventus’ most in-form players, with 2 goals in the last 3 appearances.
In attack, Allegri has several options: alongside the ever-present Pulisic, Leao and Gimenez are competing for a starting spot, with Nkunku ready to come on as a substitute. For Juventus, Vlahovic currently leads over David, who has been disappointing in recent matches, as the central point of the attack.
Given the defensive absences on both sides and the high technical level of the attacking units, BetMines predicts a balanced game but with good chances that both teams will score.
JUVENTUS (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Gatti, Kelly; Joao Mario, Thuram, Locatelli, Cambiaso; Conceicao, Yildiz; Vlahovic. Coach: Igor Tudor
MILAN (3-5-2): Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic; Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi; Gimenez, Pulisic. Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
AC Milan
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
9
1
6
4
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
8
2