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Prediction published on Oct 20, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 20, 2026 9:03 PM
Juventus host Rennes at Juventus Stadium on October 22 in a Europa League meeting between two unbeaten sides. Juventus have won both of their league-phase matches and sit first in the standings, while Rennes are 13th after taking four points from two games. Both teams lost in domestic action on October 18, so this fixture offers an immediate chance to respond. Juventus can draw confidence from their European results and home record, although Rennes have conceded just once in the competition so far.
Juventus began their Europa League campaign with a 5-0 win over NEC and followed it with a 2-1 victory against Celta Vigo. Those results leave them with two wins from two, an average of 3.5 goals scored per game and just 0.5 conceded. Their domestic form has been less convincing: a 3-0 home defeat to Lazio was their latest result, and their last five matches across competitions have brought two wins, one draw and two losses.
The return to European action gives Juventus another opportunity at home. They have won their last four home games in Europe and have lost only twice in their last 10 home matches across all competitions. Goals have also been a consistent feature of their home fixtures, with over 1.5 total goals in each of the last 20. That figure describes goals scored by both teams combined, rather than Juventus goals alone.
There is a different pattern before the interval. At least one team has failed to score in the first half of each of Juventus’s last 23 matches, including their last 20 at home. Their most recent three games have also seen them trailing at half-time, while 21 of the last 23 have featured fewer than two first-half goals. After the break, there has been at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 home matches. Those numbers suggest a game can remain relatively contained early without staying quiet throughout.
Rennes travel to Torino after a 4-3 defeat against Paris on October 18. It was their third loss in five matches, a sequence that also includes two wins and no draws. Across those five games, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The latest result underlined their ability to contribute goals, but it also extended the defensive concerns surrounding their recent away performances: Rennes have conceded four times across their last two away matches.
Their Europa League record provides a more encouraging comparison. Rennes have one win and one draw from their opening two fixtures, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded per match. Although opponents have taken 13 shots against them in Europe, Rennes have allowed only one goal. Their task is to preserve that level of resistance against a Juventus side whose first two Europa League matches produced seven goals.
Rennes recovered against OFI Crete a week before their defeat to Paris, but could not repeat that response in the 4-3 loss. The contrast between their recent domestic goals conceded and their European defensive record is central to this matchup. A disciplined display would give them a better chance of maintaining their unbeaten Europa League start; another open contest would place greater demands on an away defence that has recently struggled.
This Europa League preview presents a contrast between Juventus’s strong start in the competition and the home side’s uneven wider form. Two European victories, four successive home wins in Europe and a first-place standing all favor Juventus. The Lazio defeat, however, is a reminder that their home advantage has not made them immune to setbacks. Rennes arrive with a loss of their own to put behind them, but have taken points from both of their Europa League games.
The teams last met in 1999, when Juventus advanced 4-2 on aggregate. That is a distant reference point rather than a guide to current form. More relevant are Juventus’s seven goals in two Europa League matches, Rennes’s record of conceding only once in the same competition, and the visitors’ recent difficulties away from home. Rennes have shown they can score, yet their last five matches have also brought an average of 2.2 goals conceded. Juventus have the stronger European results and home sequence entering this fixture, making a home victory the most coherent reading of the available form.
Juventus vs Rennes prediction from BetMines: Juventus win (1) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Rennes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3