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Prediction published on Nov 6, 2025 9:45 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 7, 2025 10:39 AM
On Saturday, November 8, at the Allianz Stadium, the much-anticipated Derby della Mole between Juventus and Torino will take place, valid for Matchday 11 of Serie A. A clash that is never ordinary, but in recent years has almost always seen clear dominance from the Bianconeri. Luciano Spalletti’s team, facing his first Turin derby just like his counterpart Marco Baroni, needs a win to put behind the Champions League setback against Sporting Lisbon and to confirm the good performance shown in the victory over Cremonese last weekend. With a win, Juventus could move up to fifth place, overtaking Bologna, who face a tricky match against league leaders Napoli. However, on their path comes a confident Torino side, despite two consecutive draws. The Granata, after a few underwhelming seasons, are obliged to aim higher than a simple mid-table finish but, above all, dream of gifting their fans a derby victory that has been missing for ten years. As always, this match promises intensity and physicality, likely to be decided by a single moment of brilliance — with the smallest details making the difference between victory and defeat. One thing is certain: neither team can afford to drop points. Juventus need consistency, while Torino are looking for a turning point in their season.
Spalletti’s approach has helped Juventus secure a Serie A win against Cremonese (1-2), but it wasn’t enough in the Champions League. On Tuesday, November 4, the Bianconeri were held to a 1-1 draw at home against Sporting Lisbon, complicating their chances of reaching the knockout stage.
Juventus come into this game unbeaten in their last three matches, with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their previous five across all competitions — averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per match. The main concern remains the defense, which has been breached in each of their last six games.
In Serie A, the Old Lady currently sit 6th with 18 points, the result of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 14 goals and conceding 10. Their home record is impressive: unbeaten in their last 9 Serie A games at the Allianz Stadium, and 7 unbeaten in all competitions.
On Matchday 10, played on November 2, Torino drew 2-2 at home against Pisa, managing to come back from a two-goal deficit thanks to goals from Giovanni Simeone and Che Adams. A strong display of character from Marco Baroni’s men — though the coach, sent off in that match, will miss his first Derby della Mole on the sidelines.
Torino are in a good period of form: unbeaten in their last five matches, with 3 draws and 2 wins, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been particularly impressive, keeping clean sheets against top-tier teams such as Napoli and Bologna in recent weeks.
The Granata enter this match sitting 13th in the table with 13 points, the result of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded (8 of those in the first four matchdays). Away from home, Torino’s form has been inconsistent — managing an impressive 1-0 win at Roma but also suffering heavy defeats against Inter (5-0) and Parma (2-1).
Although it’s a fiercely contested derby, the Derby della Mole has been one-sided in recent years. Torino’s last win dates back to the 2014/15 season, while Juventus have collected 16 wins and 5 draws since then.
With the support of the Allianz Stadium — where Juventus haven’t lost since March — and the head-to-head record clearly in their favor, BetMines’ prediction leans heavily toward a Juventus win, with a 58% probability. Torino’s chances, by contrast, stand at just 16%.
As in any Turin derby, the feeling is that we’ll see a highly physical match, with Juventus trying to control possession and Torino looking to strike on the counterattack. It seems unlikely this will be a high-scoring encounter.
In addition to a Juventus victory, BetMines also suggests the Under 2.5 goals bet (56% probability), predicting a game with no more than two total goals. In fact, seven of the last eight meetings between these two teams have ended this way.
As for the lineups, Spalletti is expected to confirm Koopmeiners as left center-back, while there are still doubts in attack. For now, Vlahovic — fresh off his goal against Sporting Lisbon — should start ahead of David. Francisco Conceicao and Openda are competing for a spot in the attacking midfield alongside Yildiz, who returns after missing the last two league games.
For Torino, the only absentee is goalkeeper Israel. Otherwise, Baroni should confirm the same lineup seen against Pisa, relying on the attacking duo Simeone–Adams, with Zapata ready to come off the bench. In the attacking midfield, Vlasic’s work will be crucial, both defensively and in creating chances for the forwards.
JUVENTUS (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Gatti, Koopmeiners; Cambiaso, K. Thuram, Locatelli, Kostic; Openda, Yildiz; Vlahovic. Coach: Spalletti
TORINO (3-4-1-2): Paleari; Tameze, Maripan, Coco; Pedersen, Casadei, Asslani, Lazaro; Vlasic; Simeone, Adams. Coach: Baroni
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Torino
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
9
1
3
7
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2