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Prediction published on Dec 1, 2025 2:31 PM by Dario in Italy - Coppa Italia | Modified on Dec 1, 2025 2:31 PM
The Coppa Italia round of 16 brings an intriguing clash at the Allianz Stadium as Juventus host Udinese. The Bianconeri, guided by Luciano Spalletti, are eager to reclaim a domestic trophy they last lifted in 2020. After a mixed start to their Serie A campaign, this competition offers a crucial opportunity to restore confidence and momentum. Spalletti’s men come into this fixture following a 2-1 home victory over Cagliari, a result that extended their unbeaten run and showcased the growing influence of young star Kenan Yildiz, who netted both goals. However, the absence of Dusan Vlahovic due to a muscle injury is a significant blow, forcing tactical adjustments in attack.
Juventus currently sit seventh in Serie A, a position that does not reflect their ambitions or the quality within their squad. The club has undergone managerial changes this season, with Igor Tudor dismissed before Spalletti’s arrival. The new coach, who previously led Napoli to a Scudetto, is determined to rebuild a winning mentality in Turin. In their last five matches across all competitions, Juventus have recorded 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.0. Their defensive structure remains solid, and their home form in the Coppa Italia is exceptional: 17 consecutive home matches unbeaten in the tournament.
At the Allianz Stadium, Juventus have consistently found the net, scoring in each of their last 12 home games in the competition. The team’s resilience and tactical discipline have been key to maintaining this streak. Spalletti is expected to rotate his lineup slightly due to fixture congestion, but he will still field a competitive side. Perin should start in goal, with Kalulu, Gatti, and Kelly forming the defensive trio. In midfield, Cambiaso, McKennie, Locatelli, and Kostic will provide balance and width, while Zhegrova and Yildiz will support David up front. The Bianconeri’s main challenge will be converting possession into goals without their injured striker Vlahovic.
Udinese arrive in Turin after a much-needed 2-0 win over Parma, a result that ended a run of two consecutive defeats and restored confidence. Under coach Kosta Runjaic, the Friulani have shown flashes of quality but continue to struggle with consistency. In their last five matches, they have registered 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Despite these mixed results, their Coppa Italia campaign has been impressive so far, with victories over Carrarese (2-0) and Palermo (2-1) securing their place in the round of 16.
Runjaic is also expected to rotate his squad, mindful of the demanding schedule. Udinese will likely line up in a 3-5-2 formation, with Okoye in goal and a backline of Palma, Kabasele, and Solet. The midfield will feature Ehizibue, Ekkelenkamp, Zarraga, Karlstrom, and Zemura, while Zaniolo and Buksa lead the attack. The team’s strength lies in its compact defensive shape and ability to counterattack quickly, but they will need to be clinical to challenge Juventus away from home. Historically, Udinese have found it difficult in this fixture, winning only 14 of 111 meetings and losing 75.
Matches between these two sides have traditionally favored Juventus, who have won the last three encounters, each by at least a two-goal margin. The most recent meeting ended 3-1 in favor of the Bianconeri on October 29, 2025. Juventus’ superior squad depth and home advantage make them strong favorites, but the absence of Vlahovic could limit their attacking output. Spalletti’s approach will likely emphasize control and patience, relying on midfield creativity and Yildiz’s flair to unlock Udinese’s defense.
Udinese, on the other hand, will aim to stay compact and exploit transitions. Their recent win over Parma showed improved defensive organization, but facing Juventus in Turin is a different challenge altogether. The cold evening conditions in Turin, with temperatures expected around 5–7°C, could also influence the tempo of the game. Both managers are expected to make several changes, which might affect rhythm and intensity, especially in the early stages.
Given Juventus’ defensive solidity and Udinese’s cautious approach, this fixture could develop into a tight, low-scoring contest. The Bianconeri’s unbeaten home record in the Coppa Italia and their ability to manage knockout games efficiently suggest they have the edge, but Udinese’s recent improvement means they cannot be underestimated. The winner of this tie will face either Atalanta or Genoa in the quarterfinals, adding extra motivation for both sides.
JUVENTUS (3-4-2-1): Perin; Kalulu, Gatti, Kelly; Cambiaso, McKennie, Locatelli, Kostic; Zhegrova, Yildiz; David. Coach: L. Spalletti
UDINESE (3-5-2): Okoye; Palma, Kabasele, Solet; Ehizibue, Ekkelenkamp, Zarraga, Karlstrom, Zemura; Zaniolo, Buksa. Coach: K. Runjaic
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% probability. Juventus’ solid defensive record and Udinese’s conservative style suggest a tactical battle with limited scoring opportunities.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Juventus
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
9
1
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1